Social Security Hearings

The Ways and Means subcommittee on Social Security is plowing ahead with their hearings on the issue. Tomorrow they will hold a hearing examining the projections of the Social Security trustees. On Thursday they will hear from lawmakers about their ideas for overhauling Social Security. The Senate Finance Committee will also continue with their Social Security hearings. They plan to hold one on Wednesday, May 25 on the subject of Social Security solvency. These hearings are open to the public.

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House Committee Meetings on SS; Rep. Wexler Offers Plan

The Ways and Means Committee held a hearing yesterday on Social Security and issues of retirement savings. Democrats used the opportunity to continue to raise objections regarding private savings accounts. Rep. Pete Stark (D-CA), was one of the most vocal, castigating Republicans for spending too much on tax cuts and now finding themselves with a Social Security shortfall. The Ways and Means Subcommittee on Social Security will hold two more hearings on May 24 and 26. Thomas is hoping to complete legislation this summer. Meanwhile, Bush continues to promote his plan (despite an ongoing lack of support) across the country, stopping in Milwaukee yesterday. Besides pushing his own plan, Bush has been extremely critical of Democrats for not offering alternative proposals to fix Social Security. Yesterday, however, Rep. Robert Wexler (D-FL) filed legislation that combats the shortfall by lifting the earnings cap on taxable wages. His plan, called the Social Security Forever Act of 2005, would lift the cap on taxable earnings requiring workers to pay a 3 percent payroll tax on wages above $90,000, to be matched by the employer. Wexler's reform plan, which has been reviewed by the CBO, completely closes the funding gap in Social Security without cutting benefits, creating private accounts, borrowing, or adding any elements of risk to the benefits collection process.

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Pozen Criticizes Key Element of Bush's Plan

Former member of Bush's 2001 Commission to Strenghten Social Security Robert Pozen said wednesday that Bush should "back away" from insisting that Social Security reform include individual investment accounts. Pozen's comments are significant because it is his Social Security plan which has gotten the most praise and attention from an administration adamant on overhauling the nation's Social Security program. Pozen's plan would reduce the growth of Social Security benefits for all but the poorest income earners, which is why it has earned the name "progressive price indexing." It also creates small private accounts for wealthier earners who would be losing some of their benefits. In April Bush publicly endorsed Pozen's plan. Pozen's comments were made wednesday during a debate with Brookings' Peter Orszag, who has been critical of Bush's plans all along. He commented that the president's insistence on "carving out" individual accounts from a percentage of Social Security's payroll tax has polarized congressional Democrats and threatens passage of a Social Security restructuring that would deal with the program's financial problems. He said, "I would advise the president to say that carve-out accounts are no longer required." Also of importance in recent Social Security discussions, Bill Thomas (R-CA) of Ways and Means has been hinting that Social Security reform might be a good vehicle with which to push new and costly retirement-related tax cuts. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released this report yesterday, highlighting the point that tax cuts would do little to help out middle class families who would be hurt by Social Security benefits cuts, and would instead add to the deficit.

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GAO Releases Social Security Primer

The Government Accounting Office (GAO) has released a very good primer on the challenges facing the Social Security program and the difficult choices Congress and the country must make to address those challenges. The guide, called Social Security Reform: Answers to Key Questions (GAO-05-193SP, May 2005) provides answers to questions about the most basic aspects of the Social Security and reform issues in a concise and easy-to-understand format. It provides straightforward answers to how Social Security works, why it needs reform, what the basic options are, and how to assess their implications. It also includes a glossary of terms and bibliography of related GAO products.

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April Job Increases Not Good News For Everyone

Despite the recent surge in jobs created during April, there are millions of Americans still suffering through a slow economic recovery that has done little for workers and much for corporations. In today's New York Times, columnist Bob Herbert showcases one particular segment of the population still hurting: young people. The Young and the Jobless

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House Focuses On Social Security

Bill Thomas (R-CA) and the Ways and Means Committee kicked off the first of many committee hearings on Social Security today. The Committee will hear from a number of witnesses, including senior fellow Jason Furman of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities; Eugene Steuerle, a senior fellow at the Urban Institute; Michael Tanner, director of the Cato Institute's Project on Social Security Choice; Robert Pozen, and former economic advisor to President Bush, Lawrence Lindsey. The Ways and Means Subcommittee on Social Security, which is chaired by Rep. Jim McCrery (R-LA), will hold the next hearing on May 17th. House Reps remain split on how to proceed with Social Security legislation. Chairman of the House Rules Committee, Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN), said yesterday, "Let's get on with it. Let the House lead on Social Security reform. If the House goes first, we will produce a reform that is consistent with the President's vision for a 21st Century public retirement system." A number of other House members remain skeptical however, raising concerns that it may be risky to pass legislation without knowing it would have Senate support. Thomas met last night with Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE) one-on-one to discuss his ideas for shoring up Social Security. Nelson noted Thomas is promoting "fundamental changes that [are] broader than Social Security." Thomas discussed some specifics regarding his ideas in an April 29 press conference. A recent CBPP report discusses the details mentioned by Thomas, and highlights the fact that Thomas may be looking to use Social Security legislation as a means to push for more tax breaks for the wealthy. The report can be read here.

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GAO Report on SS Reform Options

On May 6 the Government Accountability Office sent a letter to Ways and Means Chair Bill Thomas (R-CA) on Social Security reform options. The report provides a list of various reform options, each of which has been scored by the Social Security Administration's Office of the Chief Actuary. The list reflects all provisions that have appeared in SSA proposals in the last few years, and it includes policies that rely on modifying benefits, raising taxes, or overhauling the program to include either payroll tax-funded individual investment accounts or "add-on" accounts financed outside of payroll taxes. The Ways and Means Committee will be further exploring Social Security reform in hearings in the near future. Although others in his party are wary, Thomas wants to push ahead with work on legislation in June.

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Strong, Widespread Job Growth Surprises Analysts

In contrast to a number of recent disappointing reports on the economy, last month's job market performance was surprisingly upbeat. According to the report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, employment grew by 274,000, easily beating forecasters' expectations of gains of around 170,000. Furthermore, job gains for February and March were revised up by a combined amount of 93,000. With these additions, the average monthly growth of payrolls over the past year has been 181,000. While this rate of job growth is less robust than during past recoveries (monthly employment growth over a comparable period in the last recovery was over 300,000 according to the Economic Policy Institute) it is at least strong enough to keep pace with population growth. Even though businesses are adding more jobs (a sign of increased demand and profits), workers are not necessarily benefiting with higher wages. Read EPIs Senior Economist Jared Bernstein's analysis

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House Adopts Emergency Supplemental Measure

Yesterday the House adopted the conference report on the 2005 emergency supplemental (H.R. 1268) to fund war operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. Next week the Senate will most likely approve the bill as well and it will go to the President for his signature. In clearing the measure, the House narrowly rejected a Democratic effort to add another $284 million in border security funding through a motion to recommit the measure back to conference. The $82 billion measure appropriates $75.9 billion towards war spending, bringing the total level of war spending since the spring of 2003 to $228.4 billion. See the National Priorities Project for a great breakdown of the cost of the war by state

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CBO Says Deficit May Fall in 2005

Yesterday, the Congressional Budget Office released a monthy budget update for FY 2005, in which they said the budget deficit could drop to as low as $350 billion (the deficit last year reached a record-high $412 billion). CBO states this drop is attributable to non-witheld income and payroll tax receipts jumping by 33 percent (the highest rate in four years) and corporate tax receipts jumping 47 percent, increasing overall revenue well beyond projections. While Republicans claim the CBO estimate means their fiscal policies to reduce deficits are working, Democrats counter the deficit would still be rampant, whether or not it fell, and that continuous deficits are adding to the deterioration of the fiscal health of the nation. The updated projections that the deficit may drop by $65 billion this year does not alter the fact Bush came into office with a projected 10-year $5.6 trillion surplus and quickly instituted structural deficits through irresponsible tax and spending policies. Despite historically large deficits, the president has continued to push some of the same policies that brought the U.S. so far into the red, including his debt-financed Social Security proposal and extension of the first term tax cuts. While CBO is predicting in their monthly budget review the budget deficit may be smaller than originally thought, it is important to remember this is a short timeframe. Looking at the effect of the president's tax policies beyond the narrow five-year window included in the congressional budget resolution, we see the costs of those policies explode. So while news of increased tax receipts is good for a government running large deficits, it is important to remember the future costs of some of Bush's economic policies to put in context the direction the deficit is headed.

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