House GOP Split on SS; Analysts Respond to Proposals

House Republicans, it seems, are split on how to act on Social Security. Some, including Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-IL), want to wait for the Senate to act before moving forward with legislation proposals. Others, such as Tom DeLay (R-TX) and Bill Thomas (R-CA) have indicated that they want to move forward with hearings and legislation more quickly. Click here for more information. There has been a lot of reaction to the news conference President Bush gave last week. This New York Times editorial discusses how Bush's plan may sound like he is trying to guard poor people from cuts, but that in reality his plan would significantly reduce benefits for millions and millons of Americans. The Center for American Progress and CBPP have also analyzed both the President's plan and Robert Pozen's Progressive Price Indexing Plan. The analyses are below.
  • Why the President's Social Security Proposals Could Ultimately Lead to the Unraveling of Social Security
  • Analysis of Conservative Social Security Proposals Presented Before the Senate Finance Committee
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    Connecitcut House Passes Minimum Wage Increase

    The Connecticut House approved a measure late last week to increase the minimum wage to $7.65 an hour over two years, the Hartford Courant reported. The Democratic-controlled House voted 96-44, primarily along party lines, to increase the wage by 30 cents next year and 55 cents in 2007. Connecticut's $7.10 an hour minimum wage is one of the highest in the nation, slightly above the wage in Washington, Oregon, and Alaska. Many Republicans opposed the increase, saying it would hurt workers as small employers would cut back on hours and jobs to avoid rising labor costs. Supporters say the increase would help low-income families, many of which depend on minimum wage jobs. Lawmakers stated there are 39,000 families in Connecticut living on the minimum wage. "We're making it better for people who are just barely making it," said House Majority Leader Christopher Donovan, a Democrat.

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    Bush Talks to the Public About Social Security

    In President Bush's news conference last night on energy and Social Security reform, he stated, "I know some Americans have reservations about investing in the stock market, so I propose that one investment option consist entirely of treasury bonds, which are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government." (the entire transcript can be read here. This statement is interesting given the fact that on his "60 day, 60 city tour" Bush spent much of his time discussing how the treasury bonds in the trust fund are little more than IOUs which the American people expect will be paid back by the government someday. He has been discrediting the trust fund as nothing more than IOUs, just last week he said, "You see, a lot of people in America think there's a trust, in this sense -- that we take your money through payroll taxes and then we hold it for you, and then when you retire, we give it back to you. But that's not the way it works. There is no "trust fund," just IOUs that I saw firsthand, that future generations will pay -- will pay for either in higher taxes, or reduced benefits, or cuts to other critical government programs." He has been criss-crossing the country saying this, yet last night said the trust fund has the full faith and credit of the United States Government. Bush spent much of his press conference discussing the need for responsible reforms to Social Security; reforms that he says won't cut benefits for people and that will keep retirees receiving benefits out of poverty. Yet in the same breath he says he believes the best way to do this is to have workers divert a percentage of their payroll taxes into a personal account. Hundreds of economists, policy analysts, and Social Security experts have come out over the last few months and said that personal accounts will add a level of risk to the benefits being paid to recipients. Bush is still trying to market a bad plan to the American people, yet disguising it as one that is both necessary and progressive. Private accounts are neither necessary nor progressive, and luckily, polls have shown that more and more Americans are believing this to be true.

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    House and Senate Reach Budget Agreement

    Today House and Senate budget negotiators came to an agreement on a $35 billion, five-year package of cuts in spending, after agreeing to trim the plan by about $6 billion. This agreement was made in large part because of objections voiced by Senator Gordon Smith (R-OR) concerning the size of Medicaid cuts, as well as the fact that those cuts would most likely grow in years to come. Smith sponsored an amendment in the Senate which stripped many of the entitlement cuts from the Senate's budget resolution. His amendment was passed by a margin of 52 - 48. The budget plan agreed to in conference assumes $843 billion of discretionary spending in FY 2006. It reduces the amount of money that the House Ways and Means Committee will have to cut in reconciliation from $6 billion to $1 billion. The budget plan also assumes $106 billion worth of tax cuts over the next five years, $70 billion of which are protected under reconciliation. This budget plan increases the already record-high deficit, and at the same time calls for more tax cuts for the wealthy. It cuts almost all funding for domestic programs by 1 percent, yet protects $70 billion worth of tax cuts in under reconciliation. Congress is effectively taking money from social programs that help the average American, and giving it out in the form of tax breaks to the wealthy. For more information on the budget agreement, click here and here. To read Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Director Bob Greenstein's comments, click here. For a CBPP analysis, click here.

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    Bush News Conference On Energy and Social Security

    Tonight at 8:30 PM (EST) the President will hold his first publicly broadcasted evening news conference since the start of his second term. At the news conference he will discuss plans for overhauling Social Security, and he will also discuss the high gas prices which have been plaguing the nation in recent months. Press Secretary Scott McLellan has noted that Bush will speak more specifically about his plans for Social Security reform than he has been. The President has been criticized by many for not speaking specifically enough regarding his exact plans for reform. During the conference Bush is also expected to urge Congress to pass his energy reform plan. High oil and gas prices are beginning to take a toll on the the level of national economic growth, as well as on Bush's approval ratings. Click here to read Sierra Club comments on his energy plan.

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    U.S. Economic Growth Slows

    The U.S. economy grew at its slowest pace in two years as the gross domestic product grew by just 3.1 percent in the first quarter of 2005, according to the Commerce Department. This was the slowest growth since 2003 and was a half a percentage point lower than economist had predicted. Most experts cite rising energy costs, lower business investment, and a widening trade gap as the major factors contributing to the slowdown. In a related story, statistics released by the Labor Department show weekly unemployment claims rising by 21,000 to 320,000. read more

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    Finance Committee Hearing on SS Solvency

    The Senate Finance Committe held a hearing yesterday on the issue of Social Security solvency and private accounts. Witnesses testifying before the committee included Peter Orszag from the Brookings Institution, Robert Pozen, whose Social Security plan has been praised by Bush, Joan Entmacher of the National Women's Law Center, Michael Tanner of Cato, and Peter Ferrara of the Free Enterprise Fund. Click here for witness testimonies. Committee Chairman Charles Grassley told reporters after the hearing that he wants to move forward with Social Security legislation. Republicans on the committee are planning to meet in two weeks to start coming with legislation that Grassley hopes will appeal to the Democrats on the committee, which include Senators Max Baucus (D-MT), Kent Conrad (D-ND), Jeff Bingaman (D-NM), John Kerry (D-MA), Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), and Ron Wyden (D-OR). While the Democratic senators seem to be united in their opposition to private accounts, Republicans are more splintered on the issue. During yesterday's hearing Craig Thomas (R-WY) questioned a move that would add trillions of dollars to our debt, and Olympia Snowe (R-ME) seemed opposed to personal investment accounts. She said, "Social Security became the bedrock of support for seniors in my state precisely because it's defined and guaranteed. What cost and what risk is it worth to erode the guaranteed benefit?" Click here and here for newspaper articles on the hearing as well as the Social Security rally that took place yesterday afternoon on Capitol Hill.

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    Greenspan Comments on Tax Increases and the Deficit

    Last week Alan Greenspan testified before the Senate Budget Committee. He said that tax increases, as well as spending decreases, must be part of any responsible deficit reduction plan. In his testimony he also stated, "The federal budget deficit is on an unsustainable path, in which large deficits result in rising interest rates and ever-growing interest payments that augment deficits in future years." For more information, click here.

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    Another Strike Against Private Accounts

    On tuesday, Finance Committee member Orrin Hatch (R-UT) said that both he and Sen. Charles Grassley (R-IA) had "pretty much told the president he's not going to get carve-outs" in regards to Social Security reform. Senate GOP leaders seem to be coming around to the fact that Bush's Social Security plan is not politically popular enough for them to seriously pursue. Hatch, in fact, is promoting a plan that would let people contribute up to $5,000 per year into a personal account, with the government providing scaled matching contributions for those who make less than $80,000 annually. Hatch's proposal also provides financial incentives that would be added to the accounts of those who opt to defer their receipt of Social Security retirement benefits. And the debate for reform continues. Of note: On April 26th, at 10 AM, the Senate Finance Committee will hold a hearing on sustainable solvency, during which they will look at proposals for reform both with and without private accounts. Robert Pozen, a former member of Bush's 2001 Social Security commission, will testify. His plan for reform has garnered a lot of attention over the past few months.

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    The Rich are Getting Richer...

    Recent economic data released by the Labor Department show that steady increases in productivity have resulted in increased profits for businesses, but not increased compensation for the American workforce. This has left CEOs, their boards and shareholders, and their company's bottom line looking good. But the wages paid to average workers have not similiarly improved. Economists at the Economic Policy Institute calculate that during this business cycle, wages have grown less than half as quickly as compared to productivity as in the previous 7 business cycles. And Christian Weller and John Burton at the Center for American Progress note that four years into the business cycle, CEO pay and the pay of average Americans continue to pull farther apart. While economy continues to slog along, the few benefits and increases we are seeing are being concentrated in the hands of only a few.

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