WSJ: Stimulus Policy for the Permanent Recession

A Wall Street Journal editorial today prescribes a stimulus policy that flatly contradicts the advice of economists as ideologically diverse as Larry Summers and Martin Feldstein. Messrs. Summers and Feldstein are both acclaimed tenured professors in the Harvard University Economics department. Their views on economic policy are as different as Maynard Keynes' and Adam Smith's. But when it comes to stimulus package recommendations, they sound like peas in a pod compared to the knee-jerk hacks that sit on the WSJ editorial board. Summers, Jan. 6, 2008:

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The Republican War on Straw Continues

Republican Congressional leadership has responded to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's (D-CA) statement that Democrats plan to move a fiscal stimulus package with furious objection to their own imagination. CongressDaily($) quoted House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) yesterday as saying "[Middle-class] anxieties [of the economy] will only be made worse by the higher taxes, irresponsible spending, and bigger government proposed by this Democratic Congress" while Ranking Budget Committee member Paul Ryan (R-WI) shuddered at the notion that "Democrats are banking on enormous tax increases."

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Two Thousand and Eight -- 'Tis the Year to Stimulate?

The Brookings Institution's Hamilton Project hosted a panel discussion this morning here in Washington on "Prospects for Fiscal Stimulus in the U.S. Econony -- If, When, How." Moderated by former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, the panel discussed a primer on fiscal stimulus written by Douglas Elmendorf and Jason Furman, both of the Hamilton Project.

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Impact of Insufficient Appropriations

While we reported in December that Congressional Democrats had caved to President Bush's top-line appropriations number (while still attempting to fund their priorities), some things were certainly underfunded. Case in point is the Argonne National Laboratory in Darien, IL. Darien Suburban Life newspaper reports on the cutback: Argonne Director Robert Rosner said in a memo to staff last week the cuts stem from unexpected reductions in Washington brought about by the Congressional budget appropriations bill passed in December. Argonne's news followed the announcement of similar cuts at Batavia-based Fermilab, which learned in late December it will have to lay off as many as 200 employees due to cuts. Director Rosner went on to say he thought the cutbacks would have a negative effect on morale at the lab, but that they would prevail. I'm not sure how they are going to do more scientific research with fewer people and resources, but perhaps Director Rosner has some tricks up his sleeve. I suspect similar cutbacks will happen at other national labs around the country, slowing the pace of scientific discovery and development of new technologies. Remember that the U.S. government has developed numerous things through scientific and technological research that have been extremely valuable to our society. Space blankets, penicillin, the internet, and velco are only a few examples. It's too bad our elected officials can't prioritize funding for these important investment.

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Coconut Road Earmark Defies Laws of Physics

There was a great post yesterday on the NY Times editorial blog about the so-called "Coconut Road" scandal from the 2006 transportation reauthorization bill (for details on the scandal, see the Times coverage from June and October.) The long and short of it is that a questionable earmark was removed from the final version of the transportation reauthorization bill by vote and then, magically it seems, appeared in the text of the bill anyway. From the Times yesterday: Congress rejected [the] Coconut Road [earmark] in the final legislation. But then it resurfaced — apparently via some congressional staffer's clerical sleight of hand — in the suspiciously altered final law. The mystery is how the will of Congress came to be so thwarted, and it deserves solving. The appearance of this earmark after it was struck from the final version of the transportation bill is a violation of congressional processes and horrendously unethical to say the least. And as the Times correctly points out, the fact that nobody except Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) really cares about this is probably even worse. Congress needs to do better.

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Pelosi Says Dems Will Propose Stimulus Package

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) announced yesterday that Democrats are moving forward with an economic stimulus package. Although she remains vague about such a proposal, Pelosi indicated that it would be targeted to low- and middle-income individuals. A press release at her website says that the package will "assist hard-hit families by promoting consumer confidence, economic growth, and job creation" and will be designed to provide "economic security for those with the greatest economic hardships..."

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The 2010 Spending Debate

Today's my last day at OMB Watch and the BudgetBlog. I've had a great time here, and I might be starting up my own blog- we'll see, but for now, I thought I'd leave a parting thought. The great 2010 tax cut debate, where we'll decide what do to with the expiring Bush tax cuts will be the most important budget issue for some time to come (Iraq being a close second). Without that revenue, a progressive agenda will have a hard time going anywhere.

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On the Importance of Keeping Taxes Low and Certain

The rhetoric coming out of the White House the past couple of days regarding a possible economic stimulus package is truly baffling. Speaking to Union League Club of Chicago yesterday, referring to "mixed" economic indicators, Bush said: [M]ost importantly the smartest thing we can do is to keep taxes low....I've worked with Congress to cut taxes, and pro-growth economic policies work. I don't get it. It's important to keep taxes low to keep the economy moving so that when the economy slows down we can continue to keep taxes low to keep the economy moving?

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Fiscal Policy in Response to Economic Downturns, Pt. 1: What is Fiscal Policy and Why Use It?

On Friday of last week (January 4), the Bureau of Labor Statistics released December employment data showing that the unemployment rate had jumped from 4.7 percent to 5.0 percent, causing many economists to predict a higher probability of recession in the coming quarters. Attention is now focused on policy makers in anticipation of an offering of some sort fiscal policy response. This series will lay out the basic mechanics of fiscal policy in response to economic downturns.

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