CBO Weighs in on Stimulus Debate, Curiously

The Congressional Budget Office released a paper today, Options for Responding to Short-Term Economic Weakness, that offers an economic stimulus proposal that differs somewhat with what both Democrats and Republicans have been suggesting. CBO argues that a mix of cash rebates -- which many have advocated -- and a "patch" to further extend higher exemption levels under the alternative minimum tax through 2008 -- a curious approach -- would be among the optimal stimulus tools.

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Swing District Voters' Perceptions of Tax Policy

A Greenberg, Quinlin, Rosner Reasearch survey released today has some findings regarding the perceptions of voters in swing congressional districts regarding tax policy. As described in the memo accompanying the survey: With the rising urgency about the economy, President Bush and the Republicans candidates are in near lock step calling for tax cuts, and above all, making President Bush's tax cuts permanent. You can almost hear the relief that the subject has turned to taxes again. But they are wrong. Republicans no longer have any advantage on taxes...

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Heritage Report to Put Smile on Face

That Heritage piece to which I linked earlier - Tax Rebates Will Not Stimulate The Economy - is one for the archives. I look forward to reading this for a chuckle the next time I'm feeling a bit down. Comedy gold: Economic growth requires four main factors: 1) a motivated, educated and trained workforce; 2) sufficient levels of capital equipment and technology; 3) a solid infrastructure and 4) a legal system and rule of law sufficient to enforce contracts.

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Heritage Report A Bit, Ummm, Hazy (Confused? Clouded?)

One wonders what kind of pharmaceuticals the Heritage Foundation is into these days, because this is way out there ($): Brian M. Riedl, a policy analyst at the Heritage Foundation, argued in a paper issued Jan. 10 that tax rebates do not stimulate the economy, but lower tax rates do. "High tax rates reduce economic growth because they make it less profitable to work, save and invest. This translates into less work, saving, investment and capital--and that results in fewer goods and services. Reducing marginal income tax rates has been shown to motivate workers to work more." []Riedl wrote.

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New OMBW Report Exposes Poor Tax Enforcement Policies

OMB Watch released a new report today examining the IRS budget and enforcement policies and their impact on the tax gap. The report, Bridging the Tax Gap: The Case for Increasing the IRS Budget, focuses on three key areas in need of reform at the IRS: auditing, tax collection, and services for low-income taxpayers claiming the EITC. This report comes at the start of a new budget cycle after the IRS was given too little money to accomplish its mission of enforcing the nation's tax laws and collecting federal revenues in 2007. Because of insufficient resources and inefficient (and sometimes dangerous) policies at the IRS, over $300 billion in federal income taxes goes uncollected every year. It's time for Congress to step up: Congress has given considerable lip service to doing something about the tax gap for years but has done little to actually give the IRS the tools to make significant progress in closing it. Despite this fact, Congress has demanded the IRS close the tax gap without making more resources available for the agency to do so. Thus, the IRS has been forced to make difficult choices as to how to use the limited resources it has been allocated. As a result, at the very least, the tax gap remains a large problem, and most experts believe it has probably increased in size as the IRS has largely scaled back tax law enforcement over the last ten years. We believe its time for Congress and the IRS to get their collective acts together and make some long-overdue changes to the IRS' budget and tax enforcement policies. This report gives some first steps in how this can happen. Bridging the Tax Gap: The Case for Increasing the IRS Budget OMB Watch Press Release for Report

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Where a Fiscal Stimulus Debate Might Head

Well, this just isn't helpful. Congressional Republicans are making noises that they really aren't in a mood to hold hands with Democrats and implement a fiscal stimulus package that would actually, you know, work. The New York Times is reporting a selection of statements by a few Congressional Republicans indicating that the Republican caucus may demand that extension of the Bush 2001-2003 tax cuts be included in any fiscal stimulus package.

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Bush Backs Off Social Security Reform

Bob Samuelson must be crying ($): President Bush said in late 2007 that Social Security reform awaits the election of the next president, effectively deferring any action on reform before 2009. The biggest issue for the next president will be entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare, Bush said Nov. 7 in an interview with German television reporters.

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Stimulus a Slam Dunk? Some Say No

With almost exactly a year left to try to salvage his legacy and with Congressional approval ratings stuck at 25 percent heading into an election year, President Bush and the U.S. Congress respectively see in the reputed recession an irresistable opportunity to demonstrate relevance and responsiveness, regardless of who is credited -- so desperate are they for a tangible accompishment that both parties may back away from the mutually assured destruction/obstruction budget strategy of 2007.

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Fiscal Policy in Response to Economic Downturns, Pt. 2: Getting the Most Out of a Fiscal Stimulus Dollar

In Part 1 of this series on economic stimulus fiscal policy, I defined what fiscal policy is and why policy makers would use it during an economic downturn. Today, I discuss "the multiplier process." The multiplier process is the reason that not all fiscal policies are the same - some are more effective than others at jump-starting a faltering economy. In short, the multiplier effect is the phenomenon by which a dollar injected into the economy (in this case, through fiscal policy) replaces more (and sometimes less) than a dollar of reduced aggregate demand.

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Pelosi and Reid Ask Bush for Cooperation in Putting Together an Economic Stimulus Package

Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) have sent President Bush a letter requesting to work with him and Republican Congressional leadership to craft an economic stimulus package that adheres to the three Ts of sound fiscal policy: Timely, Targeted, and Temporary.

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