Mortgage Bills Come (Past) Due

While wage increases have failed to outpace inflation, real housing prices have nearly doubled in the past ten years. Astronomical housing prices made it impossible for many families to purchase a home. The market responded by introducing and aggressively marketing new mortgage "products" like ARMs (adjustable rate mortgages) and interest-only loans. These mortgages made monthly payments affordable, but their continuing affordability hinged on two things: 1) that interest rates would not rise and that 2) the housing market continued to sizzle.

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New CBPP Paper on Min. Wage

Another sad anniversary is coming up. Tomorrow is the 9-year anniversary of the last time the minimum wage was raised. For the occassion, the Economic Policy Institute and the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities have a new paper on the minimum wage. On relative poverty: For example, in 1978, even before the gap [between executive pay and the minimum wage]began to grow quickly, the average CEO was still paid 78 times as much as a full-time year-round worker earning the minimum wage. By 2005, the average CEO was paid 821 times as much as a minimum wage earner; this is the widest

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Bernanke on Minimum Wage

We've noted that there's been a spate of establishment-types (and establishments) that have come out denying basic conservative talking points on economic policy. Now, here's new Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who says that a raise in the minimum wage will not cause inflation. BNA has the story. In a written response to questions from Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite (R-Fla.), Bernanke avoided addressing whether he thought the federal minimum wage should be raised, but he said the small number of workers affected would mean that overall labor costs and inflation would see little upward pressure.

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More Money Held From Deficit Figures

Building on yesterday's post, I think the costs that have been shifted are probably larger than first reported. Here's the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report:

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More Transparency on Katrina?

A year ago today, of course, Hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans. I don't have much to add to all that's been said so far, except for that we don't really know how the federal government has been spending the money it allocated for the relief and recovery effort. Amy Liu, a researcher for the Brookings Institute who's been tracking the recovery for the last year, should know what the federal government has been spending the money on. But as she said on the Tavis Smiley show in July, nobody really does.

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Income, Poverty Stats: Two Tales of the Economy

This morning, the Census Bureau released its report, Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2005. Nationally, 2005’s 1.1 percent increase marked the first time that real median household income showed an improvement since 1999. The poverty rate remained statistically unchanged from 2004, which marked the end of four consecutive years of increases. That’s one tale of the economy. But, as OMB Watch noted yesterday, the raw numbers are misleading unless historical benchmarks are taken into account. The economic tale that does so is not as sanguine.

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EPI's "The State of Working America"

Coming soon... On Labor Day 2006, the Economic Policy Institute releases its advance edition of The State of Working America 2006/2007.

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Bush Seeing Colors on the Estate Tax?

In his speech (text; video) to the NAACP last month, President Bush implied that the estate tax discriminates against black entrepreneurs. Darius Ross, himself a black entrepreneur, shredded that absurd, if not vaguely racist, hypothesis in an incisive TomPaine.com commentary last week. Ross cites a stat suggesting that the estate tax may actually be roughly ten times more burdensome on whites: “The median net worth of African American households was $19,024, compared to $120,989 for whites in 2001,” he writes.

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New Lows

Via Kevin Drum, we may now know why CBO found an unexpected drop in Medicare spending this year. Actual spending hasn't gone down. Rather, the Bush administration is waiting until next fiscal year to pay some of its bills from this year. That way, some of the spending on services performed this year will get counted in the FY07 budget. And when the CBO puts out its FY07 budget projection, there'll be no pesky election to worry about. Here's an excerpt from a great article on the scheme, from Barron's (sub. req'd).

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2005 Income, Poverty Stats Due Out Tomorrow

Tomorrow morning at 10 a.m., the Census Bureau will release its annual report card on the nation's economic well-being, with a consolidated report on personal income, poverty health insurance coverage and other data for 2005. Last year, the New York Times reported, was the first time on record that household incomes failed to increase for five straight years. Median pretax income, $44,389, was at its lowest point since 1997, after inflation. And OMB Watch noted that poverty rose for the fourth straight year. Will these sad trends continue?

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