Fiscal Policy in Response to Economic Downturns, Pt. 2: Getting the Most Out of a Fiscal Stimulus Dollar

In Part 1 of this series on economic stimulus fiscal policy, I defined what fiscal policy is and why policy makers would use it during an economic downturn. Today, I discuss "the multiplier process." The multiplier process is the reason that not all fiscal policies are the same - some are more effective than others at jump-starting a faltering economy. In short, the multiplier effect is the phenomenon by which a dollar injected into the economy (in this case, through fiscal policy) replaces more (and sometimes less) than a dollar of reduced aggregate demand.

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Pelosi and Reid Ask Bush for Cooperation in Putting Together an Economic Stimulus Package

Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) have sent President Bush a letter requesting to work with him and Republican Congressional leadership to craft an economic stimulus package that adheres to the three Ts of sound fiscal policy: Timely, Targeted, and Temporary.

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Pelosi Says Dems Will Propose Stimulus Package

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) announced yesterday that Democrats are moving forward with an economic stimulus package. Although she remains vague about such a proposal, Pelosi indicated that it would be targeted to low- and middle-income individuals. A press release at her website says that the package will "assist hard-hit families by promoting consumer confidence, economic growth, and job creation" and will be designed to provide "economic security for those with the greatest economic hardships..."

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Fiscal Policy in Response to Economic Downturns, Pt. 1: What is Fiscal Policy and Why Use It?

On Friday of last week (January 4), the Bureau of Labor Statistics released December employment data showing that the unemployment rate had jumped from 4.7 percent to 5.0 percent, causing many economists to predict a higher probability of recession in the coming quarters. Attention is now focused on policy makers in anticipation of an offering of some sort fiscal policy response. This series will lay out the basic mechanics of fiscal policy in response to economic downturns.

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Economic Slowdown Taking a Toll on Budget Deficit

According to the CBO Budget Review, released yesterday: The federal budget deficit was about $107 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2008, CBO estimates—about $27 billion more than in the same period last year. Outlays have risen by 9 percent compared with their level in the first three months of [fiscal year] 2007, whereas revenues have grown by about 6 percent. The deficit increase is attributed to:

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    The Bush Administration Still Doesn't Care About Children

    Bush is preventing some states from opening up Medicaid to more children. The New York Times: The Bush administration is imposing restrictions on the ability of states to expand eligibility for Medicaid, in an effort to prevent them from offering coverage to families of modest incomes who, the administration argues, may have access to private health insurance. The restrictions mirror those the administration placed on the State Children's Health Insurance Program in August after states tried to broaden eligibility for it as well.

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    A Rebirth of Keynes?

    Joseph Stiglitz sees stagflation on the horizon. If it does hit, what's a fiscal policy wonk to do? For those who think that a well-managed globalisation has the potential to benefit both developed and developing countries, and who believe in global social justice and the importance of democracy (and the vibrant middle class that supports it), all of this is bad news. Economic adjustments of this magnitude are always painful, but the economic pain is greater today because the winners are less prone to spend.

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    Bring The Money Home

    The Bush administration has consistently tried to make the war in Iraq seem like a costless effort. But we pay for every dollar spent in Iraq, particularly in terms of opportunity costs. Every dollar spent in Iraq is lost potential spending in domestic programs.

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    SCHIP Extended, But Won't Be Expanded For A While

    President Bush signed a short-term extension of the State Children's Health Insurance Program last Saturday. The bill is supposed to ensure that nobody will be cut from the program as it is now, but it also makes expanding it a non-issue until 2009, since the extension lasts until April 2009. In other words, the 4 million children who would have been covered under the vetoed SCHIP expansion will go without health insurance for at least another year, thanks to the president and the conservative coalition in the House.

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