Median Weekly Earnings Decline

In yesterday's Daily Fiscal Policy Report, we noted that real average weekly earnings in March were up compared to February, while they were down compared to March, 2007. Today, the BLS released data on real median weekly earnings, which, like average weekly earnings, have declined since a year ago.

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Bill to Stop Medicaid Regs Moves Forward

A bill to delay seven regulations that would eliminate or severely cut Medicaid health care programs won unanimous approval yesterday in the House Energy and Commerce Committee by a vote of 46 - 0. The top Senate Republican on this topic - Sen. Charles Grassley (R-IA) - opposes the House bill despite overwhelming bipartisan support for it. Grassley prefers to amend the regulations rather than postpone for a year.

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Economic Indicators Archive

In case you didn't know (as I didn't 'til I stumbled on it), the Wall Street Journal maintains a number of statistical reports that economists use to gauge and forecast business conditions. These reports, issued by government agencies and business research groups, generally are accessible there for one month. Their Economic Indicators Archive is accessible here. Among the reports:
  • The Consumer Price Index
  • The Employment Situation
  • The Gross Domestic Product
  • Initial Jobless Claims
  • New Homes Sales
Good for what ails us.

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Health Care Spending - It's Not the Aging of the Population

If policy makers are truly interested in fixing the Entitlement Crisis™, they need to look at the factors that are pushing the federal budget along an unsustainable path. As we've noted before, Social Security has minor financing issues, but its full-benefit operation does not pose a threat to long-term fiscal fitness. Medicare, however, does. And while it is tempting to indict the aging of the Baby Boom generation for fueling rapid increases in health care costs, policy makers would be wrong to set out to simply reduce benefits and/or increase Medicare premiums as a fix. Instead, they should focus their efforts on the supply side of health care, rather than increased demand resulting from the aging of the population.

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DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- April 9, 2008

Health Care -- Bipartisan Support for Blocking Bush Medicaid Rule: CQ reports ($) that a House bill that would block the president's Medicaid rule changes is gaining support among Republicans. The proposed rule changes would shift about $17.8 billion (over five years) in Medicaid costs to states. The bill, H.R. 5613, will be marked up today in the Committee on Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee.

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Monthly Budget Review: March, 2008

CBO estimates that the government incurred a deficit of $310 billion in the first half of 2008. The deficit last year at the same point in time was $258 billion. The $51 billion increase in the deficit through March was largely unaffected by differences in the timing of receipts or expenditures. A number of programs experienced double-digit percentage increases in spending in the first half of the year—including food and nutrition programs, unemployment benefits, veterans' health care, federal-aid highways, and community development block grants.

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Wash Post Opines on Future of Entitlements

The Washington Post wrote their lead editorial yesterday on the future of entitlement programs. The editorial once again lumps Social Security, a relatively healthy program, with Medicare and Medicaid, which face more serious funding issues not because they are entitlement programs, but because of the rapidly growing cost of health care in both the public and private sectors.

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The Employment Situation

While a loss of 80,000 jobs is troubling, an even more disturbing trend in the private job market continues. In March, the private sector shed 98,000 jobs, marking the fourth consecutive month to see private-sector losses. (click on image to enlarge) Dean Baker at Center for Economic and Policy Research has a good write-up of the situation:

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The Executive Casino: Risk-Free Gaming

This Tom the Dancing Bug cartoon is a great illustration of the incentives that motivate executives. (The image below is one panel of the full, four-panel comic.) (Click to see the full comic)

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Tax Cuts for Top 1% Crisis

A Center on Budget and Policy Priorities report shows that a repeal of the Bush tax cuts for the top 1% of income earners would provide sufficient revenues to close the Social Security funding gap.

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