Deficit May Reach $500 billion in 2004

Reuters is reporting that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is expected to release deficit projections tomorrow showing deficits reaching approximately $500 billion for fiscal year 2004. In addition, the CBO's report will also contain 10-year budget forecasts, unlike the Administration's official numbers released through the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), which only have a five-year horizon. These longer-range forecasts are expected to show significant long-run damage to the budget outlook.

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The Bush Tax Cuts are No Worse than the Reagan Tax Cuts?

There seems to be a common misperception that while things are pretty bad, the country survived the Reagan tax cuts, and the Bush tax cuts aren’t that much worse. All that progressives need to do is continue working against any more tax cuts and advocating for adequate appropriations funding, and we'll get through it. This complacency is misplaced and dangerous. The tax cuts, the fiscal condition of the federal government and the states, and the politics are very different. Conservatives have been working on a long-term agenda of shrinking government by reducing revenue. Movement conservative Grover Norquist wants to cut spending on federal programs in half within the next generation; in his words: "kill the taxes and you kill the government."

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September Will be Appropriations Month

Looking foward to a hectic September...

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Disturbing Pattern Emerging on Government Budget Analyses

When it comes to federal tax and budget policy, it is essential that good forecasts and good estimates exist on the effects of policy options. Unfortunately, the current administration is showing a propensity to conceal and selectively release budget information when it suits their narrow political agenda.

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A Forward Look at the Budget

How long can OMB's Rosy Scenario keep telling those pretty lies?

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Economy and Jobs Watch: Soaring Deficits, Reckless Policy

The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in its annual "Mid-Session Review" recently projected that the U.S. federal budget will see an unprecedented $691 billion deterioration in its budget situation -- moving from record surpluses of $236 billion in 2000 to record deficits of $455 billion in 2003.

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Long-term fiscal imbalance

Jagadeesh Gokhale and Kent Smetters argue that short-term deficit projections are inadequate to address the growing fiscal imbalance in Medicare and Social Security. At the very least, the OMB should return to 10-year projections rather than their current 5-year horizon.

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$455 Billion Deficit

The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) recently projected that the US federal budget will see an unprecedented $691 billion deterioration in its budget situation -- moving from record surpluses of $236 billion in 2000 to record deficits of $455 billion in 2003. This paper outlines some of the basic characteristics of the current situation and places them in the context of recent history.

OMB Watch - Interpreting the Return to Budget Deficits

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Interpreting the Return to Budget Deficits

The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) recently projected that the US federal budget will see an unprecedented $691 billion deterioration in its budget situation – moving from record surpluses of $236 billion in 2000 to record deficits of $455 billion in 2003. This paper outlines some of the basic characteristics of the current situation and places them in the context of recent history.

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Federal Deficit Over $450 Billion

OMB today released its mid-session review, which updates budget and deficit projections.

The deficit is now projected to be $455 billion (4.2% of GDP) for FY 2003, and $475 billion next year.

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