MSNBC’s Dubious Insinuation of Job Data Manipulation

A paragraph in an article written by Mike Stuckey on MSNBC.com insinuates that the White House manipulated the Recovery.gov job count total to match its previous claims of job growth numbers. I can't tell if Stuckey simply has his facts wrong, is intending to mislead to create controversy, or has been misled by an unscrupulous source.

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About Those Recovery Act Job Numbers

Prominently displayed in a large, green font on the front page of Recovery.gov is the number 640,329. That is the number of jobs created or saved as reported by the recipients of some $150 billion in Recovery Act funds. The placement, font size, and accompanying press release from the White House have drawn immense attention and copious media reports. However, questions about the number's accuracy degrade the count's usefulness as a gauge of the economic impact of the Recovery Act. The figure itself remains only a fragment of the information that describes how the act is improving the economy and helping unemployed workers.

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CBO Reports $108 Billion Spent on Stimulus

 

Updated below.
Today, the Congressional Budget Office, Congress' independent budgetary analysis arm, released a report on FY 2009 Recovery Act spending. Back in February, the CBO predicted that federal agencies, which are tasked with spending the stimulus funds, would spend $106 billion in FY 2009. Today's report confirms that approximate number. According to the CBO, agencies spent $108 billion (excluding tax provisions), within 1 percent of the original predicted value. Not too shabby.

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Targeting Recovery Act Funding

As we continue to go over the recipient data the Recovery Board released late Friday, another article by the AP today shed an interesting light on another factor in Recovery Act spending. While many commentators are focusing on how fast the money is being spent, or how many jobs are being created per Recovery Act dollar (a particularly inane exercise), it's important that we figure out where that money is going, and that it's going to those who need it most. As the article reminds us, the stimulus is supposed to target "economically distressed" communities, but it can be difficult to actually deliver money to these communities.

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Recovery.gov Search Finds More Stuff

It appears that the Recovery.gov search engine improved over the weekend (my guess is that the indexing service took a while to organize all the data). When I search recipient reports for "alpha," "Alpha Building Foundation Corp" still isn't found, but some 110 results are displayed for other awards containing the word "alpha." And when I search for "Savannah River," "Savannah River Nuclear Solutions, LLC" is returned, unlike what I was seeing on Friday.

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A Note on New Recovery.gov Features

We've been pawing at Recovery.gov for a couple of hours now and the results are...mixed.

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Recovery Board Releases Rest of Recipient Data

Finally, at long last, the Recovery Board has now released the totality of recipient reports to the public through Recovery.gov. Today's release covers grant and loan data, as the Board published the contract data on Oct. 15. This new batch of data, though, is magnitudes larger.

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AP's Limited Review of Recovery Act Job Numbers

Updated.

The Associated Press unleashed something of a firestorm earlier today, when it published an article critiquing the recent Recovery Act jobs data. Performing a "limited review" of "some" of the recipient reports of Recovery Act contracts on Recovery.gov, the Associated Press concluded that the "government has overstated by thousands the number of jobs it has created or saved with federal contracts" under the Recovery Act. A bold claim certainly and one not supported by the facts.

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Sunlight Labs Unveils Recovery Act Augmented Reality Mashup App

Ever since the Recovery Act passed back in February, we've been encouraging the Recovery Board, which operates Recovery.gov, to make its data as open and accessible as possible. The idea is that, the government could set up the greatest recipient reporting system in the world, but if that data is then locked into a proprietary system that is closed to the public, it's really no good. Unfortunately, so far, the Board has not made the recipient data itself readily available, but it has provided a KML file for the data feeding into its mapping applications. This file is a decent start, and the smart folks over at Sunlight Labs have taken advantage of it to create their first Recovery Act-focused application.

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Poor Data Quality and Lack of Website Functionality Hobble Recovery Act Recipient Reports

The release of the first round of Recovery Act contracts spending data marks the first time that recipients of federal funding have been required to report to the federal government on their use of the funds in a timely and transparent manner. This represents an important milestone in government transparency and accountability. However, the poor data quality and Recovery.gov's limited functionality hinder the promise of a new era of fiscal transparency – at least for this round of recipient reporting.

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