CBO Estimates Cost of Finance Cmte's Reconciliation Plan

The Congressional Budget Office has prepared a report estimating the budgetary effects of the Finance Committee's reconciliation recommendations. The CBO found that, overall, the committee's recommendations would generate $819 million worth of "savings" in 2006. In 2007, however, because they suggest delaying Medicare payments one year, the proposal would actually end up costing over $4.5 billion. The net cuts from 2006-2010 are estimated to be $10 billion. This is an impressive amount for lawmakers who are particularly worried about excessive government spending; however the amount is dwarfed by the amount the government is spending for the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts this year alone: $225 billion. It seems like it would make more sense to repeal some of this cost in looking for "savings," in government expenditures, rather than cut corners in programs that serve millions of people.

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Wyden Offers Tax Reform Bill

Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) is offering up a tax reform bill today which is intended to give equal tax treatment to people whose earnings are gained via work or wealth. It would also, according to Wyden, reduce the deficit by $100 billion over the next five years. The plan would boost the tax on capital gains and dividends, which is currently 15 percent. It would also have three rates of income taxation -- 15 percent, 25 percent, and 35 percent. To promote simpicity it would require only a single-page tax return. Wyden said yesterday, "When you make the tax code simpler, flatter, and fairer, you free up money for real tax relief for middle-class people that are hurting." The bill coincides with the the near completion of the President's Advisory Committee on Federal Tax Reform's work.

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Disconnected From Reality

With reconciliation moving full steam ahead, Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND) of the finance committee commented, "I have never felt that a budget going through the Congress of the United States is more disconnected from reality than this budget." It truly is disconnected -- the Senate Budget Committee yesterday approved a spending blueprint which would cut $39 billion from mandatory programs over the next five years. Overall the bill would actually produce $71 billion in gross savings, but would put about $32 billion of those savings back into new spending. The legislation will likely be considered on the House floor next week. House Republican leaders are currently still working to put together 218 votes for support for a larger $50 billion plan. Some Republicans, including Ways and Means Committee Chairman Bill Thomas (R-CA) have privately expressed frustration to House leaders over the increased spending cut targets. Ways and Means, for example, is now being pressured to cut $8 billion, which is up from $1 billion in the original FY06 budget resolution.

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Bush Will Reinstate Davis-Bacon Prevailing Wage Law

In the wake of the hurricanes President Bush suspended the Davis-Bacon wage law, which requires federal contractors to pay at least the prevailing wage to construction workers in a local area. Even though the White House said the suspension was necessary to cut rebuilding costs and open opportunities to minority-owned companies, the move angered a number of Republicans (along with unions and other pro-worker groups), who said that it would result in lower pay for workers. Today the administration announced they would reinstate the Davis-Bacon prevailing wage law Nov. 8 in Louisiana, Mississippi and selected other counties where it had been suspended. Part of this change of heart was due to pressure from Congressional Republicans, 37 of whom signed a letter to Bush supporting the reinstatement. Washington Post: Prevailing Wages To Be Paid Again on Gulf Coast (10.27.05)

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Congress Plans To Finish Approps Work And Avoid Omnibus

House and Senate appropriators have mapped out a plan for finishing work on all 11 appropriations bills before Thanksgiving, however there is some speculation that reconciliation will force GOP leaders to work slowly on appropriations to keep pressure on members to stay in town into December to complete other unfinished business. Congressional conferees are expected to wrap up work on the FY 2006 Agriculture spending bill this week, and if all goes according to plans, appropriators may complete negotiations on a $30.5 billion FY06 Energy and Water bill this week. The week of November 7 they are hoping to complete work on the Defense spending bill (including $50 billion for overseas military operations), as well as the Science-State-Justice-Commerce and Military Quality of Life measures. Their ambitious plan also includes passage of the Labor-HHS and Transportation-Treasury bills the week before Thanksgiving, as well as a short-term continuing resolution (the current CR expires Nov. 18) to give President Bush time to sign remaining spending bills into law. We'll see if they will actually be able to come to a consensus on reconciliation and tackle all of this approps work in the weeks ahead.

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House Still Focused on $50 Billion In Cuts

Even though the amendment the House was considering voting on last week to increase the budget cuts in reconciliation to $50 billion from $35 billion is off the table due to a lack of votes, many members of the House leadership are still focused on getting these budget cuts through the reconciliation spending bill. House Majority Whip Roy Blunt, who is temporarily serving as House Leader for Rep. Delay (R-TX), noted yesterday that House remains committed to approving $50 billion in cuts in the final package, saying. These cuts, which were harmful at $35 billion, will cause significantly more damage at $50, and are unnecessary in the wake of Katrina, even though many lawmakers are saying otherwise.

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House Begins Reconciliation Markups This Week

The House will set to work on the reconciliation budget bill tomorrow, with markups in eight separate committees. The Energy and Commerce Committee will be looking to trim as much as $12 billion from Medicaid over five years. These cuts could be problematic for some members of the Energy and Commerce Committee Republicans such Rep. Heather Wilson (R-NM), who was responsible for sending a letter to Budget Committee Chairman Jim Nussle back in April, asking him to remove reductions to Medicaid in the reconciliation instructions. The letter was signed by 43 other Republicans, including former leader Tom Delay, Speaker Dennis Hastert, and House Whip Roy Blunt. The cuts to Medicaid which would be included in the House budget reconciliation bill would, unlike the Senate Finance Committee proposal, hit Medicaid beneficiaries directly. The House reconciliation instructions will also look at ANWR, offshore drilling, and LIHEAP funding. According to BNA, on Wednesday and Thursday of this week two House committees "plan to mark up language that would open the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, expand offshore oil and gas exploration, and increase federal assistance to low-income families that need help paying their winter heating bills." Opening the ANWR coastal plain to oil and gas leasing is projected to raise $2.4 billion over five years (although this money is not guaranteed), yet will have a number of environmental consequences and do little to alleviate national dependancy on oil. House Energy and Commerce Committee Chair Joe Barton (R-TX) also plans to ask for an extra $1 billion to fund LIHEAP, which provides heating and cooling assistance to one out every five American families. In the Senate there have been two amendments to increase LIHEAP funding by $3.1 billion. Each of the two votes, which were procedural, have been rejected; however in anticipation of a 50 percent increase in heating bills many will be experiencing this winter, it is almost certain funding will go up significantly. The White House is expected to request a third supplemental spending bill for hurricane recovery by the end of this week, and that could potentially be a vehicle through which LIHEAP funding could be increased.

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Bernanke To Take Over For Greenspan

President Bush announced today that Ben Bernanke will replace Alan Greenspan as Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. Greenspans' term expires January 31 of next year. Bernanke currently serves as Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisors and has sought to associate himself with the policies of Greenspan, particularly regarding keeping inflation down. Bernanke stated that his first priority would be "to maintain continuity with the policies and policy strategies established during the Greenspan years." Washington Post: "Bush Selects White House Economist Bernanke to Replace Greenspan

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Are Govt. Rebuilding Contracts Too High?

Spending in the wake of Hurricane Katrina has elicited a lot of yelling and screaming from all sides, with worries ranging from how much we are spending, to how we will offset that spending, to whether or not tax and budget cuts are necessary or wise in the wake of the disaster. A new round of legitimate worries has gained more momentum recently, specifically over which giant corporations are getting government contracts, why they are getting those contracts, what their ultimate development goals are, and whether or not they are receiving too much money for the services they are providing (and thus wasting taxpayer dollars). Halliburton has been the focus of much of this attention for receiving tens of millions of dollars from the Republican administration to work on rebuilding the Gulf Coast. Now, many are questioning the deal struck between the government and Carnival Cruise Lines, which is housing displaced hurricane victims on three of their cruise ships. The company is receiving $236 million for this six-month contract, to cover the costs of using the ships, and also to compensate for lost revenue Carnival would have received if the ships were stocked with paying vacationers. The disconnect here, however, is that Carnival Cruise Lines is possibly making significantly more money than they should be, and thus wasting disaster-relief funds which are badly needed in many areas. The cruise line earned $150 million in revenue over a 6 month period (the data came from 2002), which is significantly lower than the $236 million being allocated to the company. (A spokeswoman for Carnival noted that revenue was down because it was the year following the September 11 attacks, but did not provide data to back up this statement). On top of this, many of the cruise line's entertainment services and staff -- a big chunk of their expenditures, no doubt -- will not be needed or used by the company over the next six months, thus arguably bringing costs even lower than $150 million. Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA) is a key lawmaker investigating this issue, and he sent a letter to Dept. of Homeland Security Secretary Chertoff yesterday demanding more accountability and transparency in federal contracting. The letter asks DHS to provide the following information:
  • All documentation regarding calculations of lost revenue provided by Carnival Corporation to justify the cost of the contract;
  • All documentation regarding the calculations of expenses incurred under normal operations and under the charter contract that were provided by Carnival Corporation to justify the cost of the contract;
  • All documentation regarding the decision to reimburse Carnival for federal taxes owed while under the charter contract; and
  • Any documentation regarding the development of the provision calling for return of excessive profits by Carnival.
  • In a time when lawmakers are calling for harsh budget cuts to offset the costs of Katrina-related spending, it is imperative that funds are not wasted through excessive government handouts to these major corporations. Lawmakers, who are responsible for these contracts, should know what the cost estimates for certain contracts should be and not be duped into paying more than what is necessary.

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    White House Issues Veto Threats On Spending Bill Specifics

    Senators have been working this week through a number of amendments related to the appropriations bill to provide funding for treasury, transportation, housing, and judiciary programs for FY 2006 (H.R. 3058), and on Wednesday the White House issued a handful of veto threats against the bill. According to BNA, in the Statement of Administration Policy issued by the White House, veto threats "were levied against transportation programs, an easing of sanctions against Cuba, and the lack of a ban for the use of certain federal dollars to carry out abortions." Specifically relating to transportation, the White House threatened a possible veto if:
  • The level of transportation funding, which exceeded the level contained in the recently enacted surface transportation law by $4.2 billion, is not decreased;
  • A $2.3 billion rescission of highway contract authority is included in the measure;
  • $1.45 billion in funding for Amtrak is allocated without those dollars being accompanied by certain "reforms."
  • In related news, the White House may flag the Finance Committee's Medicare proposal, which would cut more than $10 billion from Medicare and Medicaid. The White House is unenthusiastic about the proposal mostly because of the committee's decision to save about $5.4 billion by draining a fund which provides incentives to private health plans. Insurance planners also said the move was unfair in that it changes "the rules governing how private plans interact with Medicare before the new drug benefit kicks in." The committee, however, chose to make a cut in this fund to avoid some having to make more politically difficult cuts that would directly affect Medicare beneficiaries.

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