House GOP Split on SS; Analysts Respond to Proposals

House Republicans, it seems, are split on how to act on Social Security. Some, including Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-IL), want to wait for the Senate to act before moving forward with legislation proposals. Others, such as Tom DeLay (R-TX) and Bill Thomas (R-CA) have indicated that they want to move forward with hearings and legislation more quickly. Click here for more information. There has been a lot of reaction to the news conference President Bush gave last week. This New York Times editorial discusses how Bush's plan may sound like he is trying to guard poor people from cuts, but that in reality his plan would significantly reduce benefits for millions and millons of Americans. The Center for American Progress and CBPP have also analyzed both the President's plan and Robert Pozen's Progressive Price Indexing Plan. The analyses are below.
  • Why the President's Social Security Proposals Could Ultimately Lead to the Unraveling of Social Security
  • Analysis of Conservative Social Security Proposals Presented Before the Senate Finance Committee
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    Watcher: May 3, 2005

    Federal Budget
    • Congress Passes Irresponsible Budget Resolution
    • Despite Public Disdain, Private Accounts Will Not Die
    • Bush Criticized for Continuing 'Dishonest' War Budgeting
    • Senate Passes Emergency Supplemental; Bill Held Up in Conference
    • Economy and Jobs Watch: Economic Recovery Still Shortchanging Workers

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    Thomas Calls for Bolder Cuts Than Those in Budget Resolution

    On April 28 Congress passed the $2.6 trillion budget resolution. The non-binding agreement between the House and Senate calls for $70 billion in tax cuts protected under reconciliation and $35 in cuts to mandatory programs. While most Republicans note that these strides will begin work towards reducing the deficit, Democrats have cited that the cuts to mandatory programs would significantly cut funding to safety-net programs that many low- moderate-income people rely upon, and that the tax cuts would raise the deficit significantly. Last friday House Ways and Means Committee chairman Bill Thomas (R-CA) proposed more extreme cuts, and called for the House to make a "far bolder statement" in terms of spending cuts and tax reductions. He said that the spending cut numbers in the budget should be viewed as minimums and not maximums, while the amount set aside for tax cuts (most of which will go to the wealthy) should be viewed as a maximums and not minimums. The final budet resolution included more in tax cuts and less in mandatory savings than the House had originally passed in their resolution. The tax cut reconciliation bill is slated to be completed in September.

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    Connecitcut House Passes Minimum Wage Increase

    The Connecticut House approved a measure late last week to increase the minimum wage to $7.65 an hour over two years, the Hartford Courant reported. The Democratic-controlled House voted 96-44, primarily along party lines, to increase the wage by 30 cents next year and 55 cents in 2007. Connecticut's $7.10 an hour minimum wage is one of the highest in the nation, slightly above the wage in Washington, Oregon, and Alaska. Many Republicans opposed the increase, saying it would hurt workers as small employers would cut back on hours and jobs to avoid rising labor costs. Supporters say the increase would help low-income families, many of which depend on minimum wage jobs. Lawmakers stated there are 39,000 families in Connecticut living on the minimum wage. "We're making it better for people who are just barely making it," said House Majority Leader Christopher Donovan, a Democrat.

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    Center for American Progress Submits Comments to Tax Panel

    The President's Advisory Panel on Tax Reform is accepting comments regarding ideas on how the tax code should be reformed to be more simple, fair, and more pro-growth. The Center for American Progress has submitted comments to the tax panel with their ideas concerning responsible tax policy changes. Their letter can be read here. In January of this year the Center put together a tax plan outlining a "progressive approach to tax reform." Their plan raises about $500 billion when compared with the president's policies. Under their plan, 70 percent of the population would receive a tax reduction, while those making over $200,000 per year would see a tax increase. The Center submitted their comments on April 29. The Tax Reform Panel will hold their next two meetings in Washington, D.C. These public meetings will take place on May 11th and 12th. The meetings will begin at 9:30 and will focus on specific options for tax reform. The location in TBA.

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    Bush Talks to the Public About Social Security

    In President Bush's news conference last night on energy and Social Security reform, he stated, "I know some Americans have reservations about investing in the stock market, so I propose that one investment option consist entirely of treasury bonds, which are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government." (the entire transcript can be read here. This statement is interesting given the fact that on his "60 day, 60 city tour" Bush spent much of his time discussing how the treasury bonds in the trust fund are little more than IOUs which the American people expect will be paid back by the government someday. He has been discrediting the trust fund as nothing more than IOUs, just last week he said, "You see, a lot of people in America think there's a trust, in this sense -- that we take your money through payroll taxes and then we hold it for you, and then when you retire, we give it back to you. But that's not the way it works. There is no "trust fund," just IOUs that I saw firsthand, that future generations will pay -- will pay for either in higher taxes, or reduced benefits, or cuts to other critical government programs." He has been criss-crossing the country saying this, yet last night said the trust fund has the full faith and credit of the United States Government. Bush spent much of his press conference discussing the need for responsible reforms to Social Security; reforms that he says won't cut benefits for people and that will keep retirees receiving benefits out of poverty. Yet in the same breath he says he believes the best way to do this is to have workers divert a percentage of their payroll taxes into a personal account. Hundreds of economists, policy analysts, and Social Security experts have come out over the last few months and said that personal accounts will add a level of risk to the benefits being paid to recipients. Bush is still trying to market a bad plan to the American people, yet disguising it as one that is both necessary and progressive. Private accounts are neither necessary nor progressive, and luckily, polls have shown that more and more Americans are believing this to be true.

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    House and Senate Reach Budget Agreement

    Today House and Senate budget negotiators came to an agreement on a $35 billion, five-year package of cuts in spending, after agreeing to trim the plan by about $6 billion. This agreement was made in large part because of objections voiced by Senator Gordon Smith (R-OR) concerning the size of Medicaid cuts, as well as the fact that those cuts would most likely grow in years to come. Smith sponsored an amendment in the Senate which stripped many of the entitlement cuts from the Senate's budget resolution. His amendment was passed by a margin of 52 - 48. The budget plan agreed to in conference assumes $843 billion of discretionary spending in FY 2006. It reduces the amount of money that the House Ways and Means Committee will have to cut in reconciliation from $6 billion to $1 billion. The budget plan also assumes $106 billion worth of tax cuts over the next five years, $70 billion of which are protected under reconciliation. This budget plan increases the already record-high deficit, and at the same time calls for more tax cuts for the wealthy. It cuts almost all funding for domestic programs by 1 percent, yet protects $70 billion worth of tax cuts in under reconciliation. Congress is effectively taking money from social programs that help the average American, and giving it out in the form of tax breaks to the wealthy. For more information on the budget agreement, click here and here. To read Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Director Bob Greenstein's comments, click here. For a CBPP analysis, click here.

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    Bush News Conference On Energy and Social Security

    Tonight at 8:30 PM (EST) the President will hold his first publicly broadcasted evening news conference since the start of his second term. At the news conference he will discuss plans for overhauling Social Security, and he will also discuss the high gas prices which have been plaguing the nation in recent months. Press Secretary Scott McLellan has noted that Bush will speak more specifically about his plans for Social Security reform than he has been. The President has been criticized by many for not speaking specifically enough regarding his exact plans for reform. During the conference Bush is also expected to urge Congress to pass his energy reform plan. High oil and gas prices are beginning to take a toll on the the level of national economic growth, as well as on Bush's approval ratings. Click here to read Sierra Club comments on his energy plan.

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    U.S. Economic Growth Slows

    The U.S. economy grew at its slowest pace in two years as the gross domestic product grew by just 3.1 percent in the first quarter of 2005, according to the Commerce Department. This was the slowest growth since 2003 and was a half a percentage point lower than economist had predicted. Most experts cite rising energy costs, lower business investment, and a widening trade gap as the major factors contributing to the slowdown. In a related story, statistics released by the Labor Department show weekly unemployment claims rising by 21,000 to 320,000. read more

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    Sen. Smith Walks Away From Budget Deal

    Senator Gordon Smith (R-OR) walked away from negotiations on the congressional budget resolution last night moments before a final deal was struck. Smith, a key senator in the negotiations because of his successful amendment protecting Medicaid funding during the Senate debate, has said he will not vote for the final budget. This development will likely delay floor consideration of the budget this week and could doom the legislation altogether. Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) and Budget Committee Chairman Judd Gregg (R-NH) will have a very difficult time passing the budget without Smith's support. Smith's amendment to protect funding for the low-income health care program on the Senate floor passed with the support of five other Republicans. Because the Senate passed the budget resolution by only two votes, those Republican Senators become the key to passing the final resolution. The position of some of those Senators on final passage is still unclear. As the Washington Post editorializes this morning, this may be the best thing for the country in the end.

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