The Baseline
by Craig Jennings, 8/24/2007
CBO's The Budget and Economic Outlook: An Update is a statute-directed baseline: "In accordance with long-standing procedures, CBO's projections assume that current laws and policies remain in place." So, the revenue figures in years 2010-2017 reflect a scenario in which the 2001/2003 tax cuts expire (as legislated). If Congress does nothing - that is let the sun set on tax cuts, the Treasury will see surpluses starting in 2012. But if those tax cuts are extended, it's a river of red ink.
Federal Budget Surplus/Deficit(-) (billions of dollars)
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Tax Cuts Expire
62
36
65
85
58
109
Tax Cuts Extended
-187
-238
-218
-208
-245
-207
There's really nothing new here. I just wanted to point out - again - how expensive the Bush Revenue Reduction Program is.
