Supply Side Debunking
by Craig Jennings, 7/12/2006
This time from the Wall Street Journal’s Washington Wire - a great analysis of President Bush’s tax policies:
Treasury long-run analyses of the effects of President Bush’s tax cuts “may ultimately” raise total national output of goods and services by 0.7%.
[...]
The Center for Budget Policies and Priorities...says..."A 0.7 percent increase in the economic output that the Congressional Budget Office has projected for 2016 would represent an additional $146 billion [in gross domestic product]," it says. "If new revenues equaled as much as 20% of the additional output, the increase in revenues resulting from making the tax cuts permanent (assuming Treasury’s best-case assumptions) would be $29 billion."
The congressional Joint Committee on Taxation, using conventional analyses, says making the president’s tax cuts permanent would reduce federal revenues in 2016 by $314 billion. That is more than 10 times what the Treasury analysis suggests tax cuts would generate...
(via Brad DeLong)
Washington Wire: Do Tax Cuts Pay for Themselves?
