Analysis of Misleading OMB Mid-Session Budget Review

On July 13, the White House's Office of Management and Budget (OMB) released its annual mid-session budget review, which predicts an improvement in the current FY 2005 deficit from its February projections. OMB claims there will be a $94 billion decrease in the FY05 deficit, and argues this proves the president's tax cuts are working. But most observers indicate the projected drop in deficit for this year is a result of tax provisions that have caused a one-time surge in revenue as well as the fact that OMB continues to omit certain costs in its deficit calculations.

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NYT Gets Estate Tax Issue Just About Perfect

The New York Times published an excellent article on the estate tax in Sunday's business section. The article accurately dispells many of the false claims made by opponents of the tax and does a very good job of showcasing who exactly would benefit from repeal of the tax. It is definitely worth a read...

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CBO Releases More Realistic Budget Projections

About a month after the White House released its highly misleading and overly optimistic budget projections, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released their projections today. The CBO report projects a $331 billion deficit for FY05, a $33 billion reduction since they released an initial estimate earlier this year in March. CBO also has increased their estimate of the total deficits over the next ten years by more than $1.1 trillion to $2.1 trillion. These estimates are much more worrisome than OMB projections released last month as CBO and OMB differ over the ten-year deficits from 2006 - 2015 by more than $600 billion. Unlike the OMB numbers, CBO finds very little reason to be optimistic about the future health of the federal government. They write, "Although the deficit for 2005 is lower than previously expected, the fiscal outlook for the coming decade remains about the same as what CBO described in March." In March, CBO described a very dark future if current policies are continued. This CBO report casts further doubt on administration claims that their economic policies are working to spur strong economic growth and will continue to shrink deficits. CBO has confirmed what many private analysts have reported - that the recent jump in federal revenues are due to short-term and temporary factors that are unsustainable and that over the long-term, the country still faces many large and difficult fiscal challenges. CBO concludes, "Over the long-term, then, growing resource demands...will exert pressure on the budget that economic growth alone will not eliminate." Most strikingly, the CBO report states that if the tax cuts from the administration's first term are extended (with the exception of policies related to the alternative minimum tax), as President Bush has been strongly advocating, deficits over the next decade would increase $1.6 trillion on top of their current projections. The Senate Budget Committee's most senior Democrat Kent Conrad (D-ND) believes the nation needs a "serious fiscal wake-up call" if we are to correct the long-term budget shortfalls that "threaten our economic security." It's time for President Bush to be straight-forward with the American people and begin an honest conversation about adopting alternative policies that will return the country to a sound and sustainable fiscal foundation.

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Testimony on Congressional Office of Regulatory Analysis Creation Act

Statement of Gary D. Bass, Ph.D. Executive Director OMB Watch Before the Subcommittee on National Economic Growth, Natural Resources, and Regulatory Affairs of the House Committee on Government Reform and Oversight On Congressional Office of Regulatory Analysis Creation Act March 11, 1998 My name is Gary Bass and I am executive director of OMB Watch, a nonprofit research and advocacy organization that works to encourage greater civic participation in federal decision-making and promote a more open, responsive, and accountable government.

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Testimony on Congressional Office of Regulatory Analysis Creation Act

Statement of Gary D. Bass, Ph.D. Executive Director OMB Watch Before the Subcommittee on Regulatory Reform and Paperwork Reduction of the House Committee on Small Business On Congressional Office of Regulatory Analysis Creation Act July 10, 1997 My name is Gary Bass and I am executive director of OMB Watch, a nonprofit research and advocacy organization that works to encourage greater civic participation in government decision-making and promote a more open, responsive, and accountable federal government.

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OIRA meets over MSHA Diesel Rule

OIRA and the Department of Labor met with representatives from the National Mining Association, FMC Corporation (a major chemical producer), as well as a lobbyist from Patton Boggs over the Mine Safety and Health Administration's diesel rule.

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Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA)

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Guidance

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Hard Look

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Hybrid Rulemaking

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