New Posts

Feb 8, 2016

Top 400 Taxpayers See Tax Rates Rise, But There’s More to the Story

As Americans were gathering party supplies to greet the New Year, the Internal Revenue Service released their annual report of cumulative tax data reported on the 400 tax r...

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Feb 4, 2016

Chlorine Bleach Plants Needlessly Endanger 63 Million Americans

Chlorine bleach plants across the U.S. put millions of Americans in danger of a chlorine gas release, a substance so toxic it has been used as a chemical weapon. Greenpeace’s new repo...

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Jan 25, 2016

U.S. Industrial Facilities Reported Fewer Toxic Releases in 2014

The Toxics Release Inventory (TRI) data for 2014 is now available. The good news: total toxic releases by reporting facilities decreased by nearly six percent from 2013 levels. Howe...

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Jan 22, 2016

Methane Causes Climate Change. Here's How the President Plans to Cut Emissions by 40-45 Percent.

  UPDATE (Jan. 22, 2016): Today, the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) released its proposed rule to reduce methane emissions...

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Industry Challenge Prompts Removal of EPA Database

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has removed one database from its public website and slightly altered another due to a Data Quality Act (DQA) challenge submitted by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The Chamber submitted the request May 26, 2004, asserting that physical and chemical property information in several EPA databases was erroneous because the data was inconsistent and contradictory between the different databases. The differing information leads to vastly different cleanup cost estimates for contaminated sites, according to the Chamber.

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Chile's Pension Plan

President Bush has stated in the past that the United States could "take some lessons from Chile, particularly when it comes to how to run our pension plans." Chile's retirement insurance program has gotten attention lately because the reforms enacted in the country a little over twenty years ago share many similarities with reform plans being discussed by U.S. Republican leaders today. The major similarity is that Chilean workers pay a percentage (roughly 10 percent) of their salaries into private investment accounts. This system was put in place with the thought that these accounts would spur economic growth as well as provide monthly pension benefits larger than what the traditional system could offer. Two major differences, however, include the fact that Chile's private pension system is not currently optional, and also, according to this article in the New York Times, the country "was careful before it started its private system to accumulate several years of budget surpluses." The U.S., unlike Chile, is considering a social security reform in the midst of multiple consecutive years of budget deficits. The New York Times article provides a good description of how Chileans have fared under this system. As the first group of workers to depend on this system begin to retire, it is becoming evident that benefits are falling short of what was originally advertised when the program was put into place, and will unfortunately plunge many once-comfortable retirees into poverty. Not only that, but the Chilean government has had to continue diverting billions of dollars into a safety net for workers whose monthly contributions were not large enough to ensure a minimum pension. While the Chilean and U.S. economies and workforces are different and thus will benefit differently with private pension plans, it helps to look at the problems Chileans are experiencing with their private accounts if we are going to be considering enacting similar policies.

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The Truth Behind CBO's Ten Year Deficit Projections

In September of 2004 the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated 10 year deficit levels to be $2.3 trillion. Their recent Budget and Economic Outlook shows this 10 year deficit projection improving, as they now predict deficit levels to be $1.4 trillion over the next ten years. These numbers are misleading. The reason for this improvement is because in their previous report, the CBO included $115 billion per year through 2014 for supplemental defense expenditures in Iraq and Afghanistan. In their current estimates, the CBO includes no supplemental funding for Iraq and Afghanistan. This discrepancy exists because CBO is required by law to base their projections only on current law. The CBO report acknowledges this and includes adjustments to their previous projections in order to have a fair baseline to compare the ten year deficit. When this adjustment is made, CBO reports that ten year deficit levels will actually increase by half a trillion dollars, or 0.3 percent of GDP; three-quarters of this increase is due to legislation surrounding the extension of tax cuts. Similarly, CBO projections fail to take into account some costly policies that are widely expected to become law in the near future. These include:
  • reforming the Alternative Minimum Tax;
  • extending expiring tax cuts; and
  • creating private accounts in social security. Given the potential costs of the policy issues listed above, as well as projected increases in health care costs, it would be foolish and irresponsible for policymakers to think they can sufficiently meet those priorities while attempting to make Bush's tax cuts permanent. To do so would explode deficits far beyond any projections we are seeing today. For good articles on the Budget and Economic Outlook released yesterday, read this article in the Washington Post and this article from Bloomberg news. To read more about why CBO projections tend to underestimate the real picture of the deficit read this analysis by economist John Irons. Written last fall, Dr. Irons explains his take on why ten year budget deficits will most likely be much greater than any predictions from the CBO.
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    Social Security Will Impact More Than Just Seniors

    One of the most gaping holes in the debate on Social Security reform is the lack of discussion about Social Security as a life and disability insurance program. The program insures much more than just the elderly in retirement; fully one-third of payments go to non-retirees. These benefits – to around 17 million Americans – insure workers and their families from slipping into poverty when a worker becomes disabled or dies. The issue of disabled workers sheds light on many of the problems of private account proposals.

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    Will Bush's Social Security Reform Plan Succeed?

    President Bush has been clear that Social Security reform is a top priority in his second term. Even though he has not announced a plan, he expressed his desire to allow people the option of creating private – or in Bush language, personal – investment accounts. Given the necessity of benefits cuts as well as heavy transition costs years into the future, several high-ranking Republicans have begun expressing doubts about the president’s plan. Moreover, many are beginning to question whether Social Security really has a “crisis” as Bush claims.

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    NRC Censors Environmental Impact Statement

    The public will not have access to health and safety data about a proposed uranium enrichment plant in New Mexico, despite a legal requirement that the public have ample access to such information.

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    Data Quality Update: Court Decision Appealed

    In a Jan. 14 news release, the Salt Institute announced that it would appeal the dismissal of its data quality case against the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI). The Salt Institute along with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce had filed suit against NHLBI claiming that statements made by the agency about health benefits from lower sodium diets did not comply with the Data Quality Act.

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    DHS Cancels Nondisclosure Agreements for Unclassified Information

    The Homeland Security Department (DHS), under pressure from congressional offices, federal employee unions and the media modified it policies for “Sensitive But Unclassified” (SBU) information and stopped requiring nondisclosure agreements.

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    Divisions in Social Security Reform Widen

    The lack of a proposal from the White House on the President's specific plans for Social Security reform has continued to raise doubts and widen the divide of consensus on the proper way to approach this issues. In yesterday's Washington Post, House Ways and Mean Committee Chairman Bill Thomas (R-CA) was quoted as saying the President's plan would be a "dead horse" upon arrival in Congress and that it "cannot, given the politics of the [Congress]" win passage. Representative Thomas is one of the most powerful Republicans concerning tax policy and will have a huge influence on the fate of Bush's domestic agenda in his second term - particularly Social Security reform. Also recently released, a new analysis by Center for American Progress/The Century Foundation senior fellow Ruy Teixeira on recent polls concerning Social Security. It seems not only has Bush lost Congress, but he continues to be unable to sell the American public on his policies.

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    Washington Post Series On Social Security

    In an editorial yesterday, the Washington Post proclaimed that it plans to offer an occasional series of discussions on social security, in light of the recent onslaught of attention being devoted to the issue. The first article in the series can be read here. In the series on social security, the Washington Post hopes to explore many questions, including the following: What is the role of Social Security in today's retirement system? What is the size of the shortfall? What are the alternatives for addressing it? What are the risks and potential benefits of private accounts? How have they worked in other countries? Check the Post in the upcoming weeks for in depth coverage on the subject. Columnist Paul Krugman of the New York Times also continues to regularly discuss his feelings on social security reform in frequent op-eds. The latest can be read here.

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    Resources & Research

    Living in the Shadow of Danger: Poverty, Race, and Unequal Chemical Facility Hazards

    People of color and people living in poverty, especially poor children of color, are significantly more likely...

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    A Tale of Two Retirements: One for CEOs and One for the Rest of Us

    The 100 largest CEO retirement funds are worth a combined $4.9 billion, equal to the entire retirement account savings of 41 percent of American fam...

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