New Posts

Feb 8, 2016

Top 400 Taxpayers See Tax Rates Rise, But There’s More to the Story

As Americans were gathering party supplies to greet the New Year, the Internal Revenue Service released their annual report of cumulative tax data reported on the 400 tax r...

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Feb 4, 2016

Chlorine Bleach Plants Needlessly Endanger 63 Million Americans

Chlorine bleach plants across the U.S. put millions of Americans in danger of a chlorine gas release, a substance so toxic it has been used as a chemical weapon. Greenpeace’s new repo...

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Jan 25, 2016

U.S. Industrial Facilities Reported Fewer Toxic Releases in 2014

The Toxics Release Inventory (TRI) data for 2014 is now available. The good news: total toxic releases by reporting facilities decreased by nearly six percent from 2013 levels. Howe...

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Jan 22, 2016

Methane Causes Climate Change. Here's How the President Plans to Cut Emissions by 40-45 Percent.

  UPDATE (Jan. 22, 2016): Today, the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) released its proposed rule to reduce methane emissions...

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Heritage Foundation Blog Responds to My Posts

Writing on the Heritage Foundation's blog, The Foundry, rbluey calls me out for my bashing (here and here) of Brian Riedl's paper Tax Rebates Will Not Stimulate The Economy and recent statements he made in a BNA article($). The following is my response. Coming back to tenth-grade economics, in which we learn that "economic growth" refers to the change in the value of all goods and services (gross domestic product, or GDP) produced over a given time period in a given set of product and service markets, we can make any number of assertions that activity X will result in an increased value of such production. Riedl's paper relies on this definition economic growth ("By definition, an economy grows when it produces more goods and services than it did the year before."), but then claims that increased consumer expenditure, prompted by an increase in consumer income enabled by government transfers (i.e. tax rebates), do not, in fact cause the economy to produce more stuff in 2008 than it would have without such rebates. This is wrong (see e.g., CBO Director Peter Orszag, Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke, Harvard Economics professor and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers and President Reagan's chief economic adviser Martin Feldstein, and former Clinton Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers).

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Samuelson Watch: Credit Where Credit Is Due

This week, Bob Samuelson bemoans Wall Street and its ship-wrecking captains who command treasure chests of severance packages. At Merrill Lynch and Citigroup, large losses on subprime securities cost chief executives their jobs -- and they left with multimillion-dollar pay packages. Stanley O'Neal, the ex-head of Merrill, received an estimated $161 million.

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House Tries, Fails at SCHIP Expansion Veto Override

The Republican War on Children's Health continues($). The House failed Wednesday to override President Bush's second veto of a children's health insurance bill, again confounding Democrats' plans to expand government-sponsored health coverage to include an additional four million low-income kids.

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Economic Stimulus Package Update

Bush, Congress nearing accord, as Administration cedes some ground to Democrats House Speaker Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), Senate Majority Leader Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV), and Congressional Republican leadership met with President Bush last night to discuss the broad outlines of an economic stimulus package. Bush came out of the meeting with a "very positive feeling" while Pelosi was "confident" that a bipartisan agreement could be reached. So, here's what the package is shaping up to be so far - these are the boundaries that will most likely contain the package.
  • $145 billion

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A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Printer(?)

Did the CBO goof or did it change the naming convention for its annual 10-year outlook report? Last year (Jan. 2007), the CBO released "The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2008 to 2017." This year (today, in fact), the CBO released "The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2008 to 2018." What's going on? Both reports cover the same forecasting window, so that hasn't changed. My first scan of this year's report hasn't caught a note explaining the difference in naming convention. Anyone out there care to venture a guess?

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Reality Check: CBO's Deficit Projection for 2008

In the CBO report cited immediately below, the baseline budget projections are not a forecast of future outcomes; rather, they are based on the assumption that current laws and policies remain the same. So the report's incomplete picture of the projected 2008 federal deficit is no fault of CBO's. Having said that:

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The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2008 to 2018

The CBO has released its outlook for the budget for 2008 through 2012. Under an assumption that current laws and policies do not change, CBO projects that the budget deficit will rise to 1.5 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2008 from 1.2 percent in 2007. CBO: The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2008 to 2018

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Fed Chief Would Oppose Extension of Bush Tax Cuts

Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testified before the House Budget Committee. Without explicitly saying so, his comments indicate that he believes an economic stimulus package that would extend the 2001-2003 Bush tax cuts would be a bad idea. MarketWatch: "To be useful, a fiscal stimulus package should be implemented quickly and structured so that its effects on aggregate spending are felt as much as possible within the next 12 months or so," Bernanke said. "Any fiscal package should be efficient... Finally, any program should be explicitly temporary." ...

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CBPP: States Facing Budget Crunch

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released an analysis yesterday forecasting that as least 21 states will face budget shortfalls due to reduction in sales tax collections and other tax revenues in the next fiscal year. This isn't good news, as state budgets are far less flexible than the federal budget and usually are legally prohibited from running a deficit. From the report's introduction: The bursting of the housing bubble has reduced state sales tax revenue collections from sales of furniture, appliances, construction materials, and the like. Weakening consumption of other products has also cut into sales tax revenues. Property tax revenues have also been affected, and local governments will be looking to states to help address the squeeze on local and education budgets. And if the employment situation continues to deteriorate, income tax revenues will weaken and there will be further downward pressure on sales tax revenues as consumers become reluctant or unable to spend. The vast majority of states cannot simply run a deficit or borrow to cover their operating expenditures. As a result, states have three primary actions they can take during a fiscal crisis: they can draw down available reserves, they can cut expenditures, or they can raise taxes. States already have begun drawing down reserves; the remaining reserves are not sufficient to allow states to weather a significant downturn or recession. The other alternatives — spending cuts and tax increases — can further slow a state's economy during a downturn and contribute to the further slowing of the national economy, as well. CBPP: 14 States Face Total Budget Shortfall of at Least $29 Billion in 2009; 12 Others Expect Budget Problems

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Samuelson Watch: This Week - He's Cynical, Yet Completely Lacking in Empathy

I don't know where to start with this week's Samuelson column ("Lollipop Economics"). It's a mess. I guess the quality control person at the Post had the day off. As expected, Samuelson devotes another chunk of prime pundit real estate to heft the long term fiscal imbalance on the shoulders of the Baby Boom generation and their impending retirement. This is, of course, just wrong, wrong, wrong. As has been documented numerous times, the fiscal challenges of the next fifty years lay squarely in the rapidly raising cost of health care.

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Resources & Research

Living in the Shadow of Danger: Poverty, Race, and Unequal Chemical Facility Hazards

People of color and people living in poverty, especially poor children of color, are significantly more likely...

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A Tale of Two Retirements: One for CEOs and One for the Rest of Us

The 100 largest CEO retirement funds are worth a combined $4.9 billion, equal to the entire retirement account savings of 41 percent of American fam...

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