Notes from the Economy: GDP, Jobless Claims

GDPThe Bureau of Economic Analysis released its preliminary estimate of second quarter GDP growth. The BEA estimates that the economy grew at annualized rate of 3.3 percent in the second quarter. This estimate is a bit higher than the advance figure of 1.9 percent, which the BEA released a month ago. The final second quarter GDP number will be released on Sept. 26. In the first quarter of this year, real GDP grew at a 0.9 percent rate.

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Steven Pearlstein Wants to be Shown the Money

(Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, "Average Income in 2006 Up $60,000 for Top 1 Percent of Households, Just $430 for Bottom 90 Percent") After a discussion about federal tax policy and income inequality, Steven Pearlstein strikes the right chord on where the discussion on inequality should be focused. As much as the distributional consequences of the tax code matter, there's still the nagging problem of pre-tax income inequality. Despite major advances in worker productivity over the past 40 years, workers have seen only a sliver of that economic gain.

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Annual Census Report on Income, Poverty and Health Insurance Coverage Released

You can read Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2007 here. Good news for income, not so great news for poverty, and mixed news for health insurance coverage. Here are a few highlights copy and pasted from the report: Income:
  • Real median household income increased 1.3 percent between 2006 and 2007, from $49,568 to $50,233 the third annual increase in real median household income.

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CBO: Updated Social Security Projections

Last week the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a new report with updated long-term projections for Social Security. This report is a follow up to the last projections for Social Security released by CBO back in December, 2007.

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Taxing and Spending

Brad DeLong has a great post on the tradeoffs we face in bringing the long-term budget into balance.

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Gearing up for New Census Poverty Data

Today has been a slow day in an already slow month in fiscal policy in Washington, DC, but the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP) issued a very helpful report leading up to the release of poverty, income, and health insurance data from the U.S. Census Bureau next Tuesday. The report is a guide to what to look for in the Census release and how to assess whether economic growth is reaching low- and middle-income families. CBPP thinks these data could show some pretty unprecedented trends:

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Notes from the Economy: Unemployment Insurance Claims

The Department of Labor released its weekly unemployment insurance claims data this morning. Initial and continuing claims moved slightly downward, from 445,000 to 432,000 and from 3,379,000 to 3,362,000, respectively. The four-week moving average of initial claims, however, ticked up from 438,500 to 445,750.

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The Best Laid Plans

Over on Capital Gains and Games (a favorite blog of the Budget Brigade), budget guru Stan Collender and Pete Davis muse, in a couple of posts, on the presidential candidates' budget plans. They emphasize the point that, as much as they may want to implement deficit-increasing tax and/or expenditure plans, the market may have other plans. First, Collender reminds us that in the post-Reagan world, economic policy options were limited.

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CHN Hosting Prep Webinar on Census Poverty Data Release

On Tuesday, August 19, the Coalition on Human Needs is once again hosting a webinar to help advocates and analysts prepare for the release of annual data from the Census Bureau about poverty, income, and health insurance in the U.S.

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