CBO Report: Reality Checks and Balanced Budgets

CBO's "Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2008 to 2017," published yesterday, projects the federal budget deficit to fall from $248 to $172 billion this year, to be replaced by a $170 billion surplus in 2012. This forecast of a sudden surge into the black might be credible, "but virtually nobody ... believes it, says the Washington Post.

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Once Again, President and OMB Exaggerate Budget Claims

With release of CBO's latest budget projection comes the latest edition of Tales from the OMB. OMB Director Rob Portman released this statement regarding CBO's projection of coming surpluses (more on that later, but I want to debunk this bit that really sticks in my craw): Two years ago the President laid out an ambitious goal to cut the deficit in half by 2009, and we met that goal three years early. This is, of course, remarkably similar to this week's episode of Presidential Budget Story Time, as encapsulated by this line in the president's SOTU speech:

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Tom Paine on Industry Giveaways

Tom Paine has an interesting article on an overlooked government handout to the oil and gas industry. When the U.S. House of Representatives voted to eliminate $14 billion in tax breaks and subsidies for the oil and gas industry on January 18, it left at least one item off its target list: a billion-dollar handout to a research consortium that includes publicly traded companies that reaped $100 billion in profits in 2005.

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Bush's Fiscal Rhetoric Falls Short

In case you missed it this morning, OMB Watch released a statement responding to the president's State of the Union address last night. In short, we were unimpressed with Bush's empty rhetoric about fiscal responsibility and balanced budgets. Bush's Fiscal Policy Rhetoric Continues to Fall Short

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Senate Detours En Route to the Minimum Wage

The Senate appears less eager than the House did to pass the minimum wage hike. Its deliberations on S.2, the Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007, continued after this afternoon's votes on numerous amendments and a cloture vote. Two things are now clear:

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Hot Off the Press

CBO's The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2008 to 2017 is now available.

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Watcher: January 23, 2007

Senate Passes New Rules on Earmark Disclosure Congress Commits More Time to Doing Its Job The Fiscal Impact of House 100 Hours Agenda Congress Can Shape War Policy through Appropriations Process

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Commissions & Task Forces & Working Groups, Oh My!

Yesterday afternoon, Sens. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) and Pete Domenici (R-NM) announced plans to force Congress to consider changes to entitlement programs through the establishment of yet another commission. The Feinstein-Domenici plan would require a 15-member commission to deliver recommendations one year from the date it was established and would force, through specific deadlines, action by committees, debate on the floor or each chamber, and conference committee negotiations. Everything is scripted just so in the Feinstein/Domenici plan.

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Senate's Second Chances for Line-Item Slim

A new edition of the old GOP chestnut, the line-item veto, is getting substantial Senate floor time during consideration of S. 2, the Fair Minimum Wage Act. Senate Budget Committee ranking member Judd Gregg (R-NH) has offered an amendment to the minimum wage bill to grant the president line-item "enhanced rescission" authority to strike earmarks from tax and spending bills.

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PayGo on TPM Cafe

An interesting discussion on PayGo has popped up on TPM Cafe. Amitai Etzioni wrote we shouldn't go by PayGo because it'll only lead to surpluses that Republicans will squander on their well-heeled constituents. Point well taken. Paul Krugman recently made a similar point, though less in terms of PayGo and more in terms of the deficit. But that's not the end of the story. Greg Anrig at TPM Cafe has an interesting response to Etzioni's post. He thinks PayGo is a good way to define Democrats as responsible and competent and Republicans as crazy.

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