OMB Releases Myopic Mid-Session Budget Review

The Office of Management and Budget released their Mid-Session Budget Review today, and has revised down by $127 billion the projected FY 2006 budget deficit from $423 billion estimated earlier this year to $296 billion.

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Racial Income Gap Widening

While the Bush administration likes to say that their fiscal policies are good for the economy and therefore good for all Americans, the facts reveal otherwise. This week’s EPI Snapshot focuses our attention on the racial income gap. While African-American median income had been growing as proportion of white income since 1995, the latest data indicate that there has been a reversal of that trend. Compared to the full-employment job market of the latter 1990s, the weaker post-2000 labor market has reversed significant progress in racial income gaps.

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Sen. Landrieu Proposes Estate Tax Compromise

BNA (subscription required) is reporting that Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) has introduced an estate tax reform bill. Although not a full repeal and not as costly as Sen. Jon Kyl’s (R-AZ) compromise, it would still cost $245 billion over ten years. Sen. Landrieu’s bill calls for a $5 million per-spouse exemption with a rate of 35 percent that would increase for estates worth more than $10 million.

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Recommended Estate Tax Reading

Floyd Norris writes an excellent Op-Ed in today’s New York Times. His piece is one of the better introduction’s to the most recent incarnation of estate tax repeal. He walks us through some of the more technical aspects of the bill and how they will impact charitable giving. Norris also explains how some provisions might actually increase estate tax liabilities for some individuals living in states with estate tax, prompting those states to lower their taxes to avoid an exodus of wealth.

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Bush Nominee May Have Some Sense on Tax Cuts

Henry Paulson, Bush's nominee for the position of Treasury Secretary, differs from the President in that he does not believe tax cuts pay for themselves. While Bush (as well as a number of Congressional GOP leaders) have falsly claimed that tax cuts can pay for themselves, it seems that Paulson has some sense. He told the Senate Finance Committee recently, "As a general rule, I don’t believe that tax cuts pay for themselves." More information at Think Progress.

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Pork In Perspective

As President Bush calls on the Senate to pass its version of line-item veto legislation as a means of controlling government spending, it’s important to keep in mind just how much pork barrel spending is in relation to other important budget data points. According to Citizens Against Government Waste, the government spent $23.7 billion on "pork-barrel" spending. No small sum, for sure. But, $23.7 billion is but a fraction (7.5%) of the $317 billion FY2005 federal budget deficit. At less than one percent (0.96%) of the $2.5 trillion the government spent in 2005, it’s barely recognizable.

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What Economists Think About Line-Item Veto

Former Chair of Council of Economic Advisors for George W. Bush Greg Mankiw writes about the line-item veto. In wondering about what economists think of the line-item veto, he quotes two papers published in the August, 1998 Journal of Public Economics:

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Estate Tax Update

BNA confirms an earlier rumor that Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) won’t bring estate tax repeal reduction to a floor vote. The Republican leadership in the Senate couldn’t garner enough votes to end debate on decimating the estate tax - Frist needs 60 votes to bring a vote to the floor. Referring to his intention to raise the issue again Frist said in a statement, "the Senate will vote on a permanent reduction to this tax--a tax that destroys small businesses and family farms."

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Watcher: June 27, 2006

Measures to Reform Budget Process Move in Congress Back From the Dead: Estate Tax "Reform" Could Move in Senate Congress Drops the Ball on Minimum Wage Again House Passes Half-Hearted Disclosure Bill

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Democratic Leadership Takes Stand on Minimum Wage

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) said yesterday that he would block any pay raise for the Senate until the federal minimum wage is raised. CNN: In arguing for the minimum-wage increase, Democrats are emphasizing that salaries for members of Congress have risen $31,600 during the time the minimum wage has been frozen. They complain that rising costs for gasoline, utilities, education and food have taken a chunk out of minimum-wage paychecks, which sometimes have to support entire families.

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