CBO Forecasts Big Deficit, Just Less Of It

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has just lowered its estimate of the Fiscal Year 2006 budget deficit by about $111 billion. So for now, FY 2006, which ends on September 31st, will probably result in a budget deficit of $260 billion. The CBO estimate puts the deficit about $30 billion lower than the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), which revised its estimate in July. See here, here and here for more information on OMB's gimmicky deficit numbers.

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Watcher: August 8, 2006

Senate Defeats Estate Tax Giveaway...Yet Again

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Katrina Woes

The 1-year anniversary of the Katrina disaster is coming up, and the New Republic is featuring the plodding recovery effort in its most recent issue. From the editor's take on it (free registration required):

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Economists Rethink Minimum Wage

Ezra Klein, writing on Tapped, points us to this Bloomberg article about an emerging consensus among economists regarding the minimum wage: Aug. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Prominent economists of all ideological persuasions long believed that raising the U.S. minimum wage would retard job growth, creating unintended hardship for those at the bottom of the ladder. Today, that consensus is eroding, and a vigorous debate has developed as some argue that boosting the wage would pull millions out of poverty.

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Trouble Ahead on Pensions

A consequence of our lazy, no-good, "do-nothing" Congress is that state governments have had to tackle problems that were once the province of the federal government. Massachusetts created a universal health care insurance plan. California just signed a pact with the British to reduce global warming. Lots of states have raised the minimum wage. And so on.

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TANF and Budget Reconciliation in Today's Post

Welfare recipients who are working toward college degrees may lose their benefits, according to today’s Washington Post. Key quote: Having grown up on welfare, Rochelle Riordan had vowed never to ask for a government handout. That was before her hard-drinking husband kicked her and their young daughter out of their house near Lewiston, Maine, leaving her with a $300 bank account, a bad job market and a 15-year-old car held together in spots with duct tape.

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Reading the Tea Leaves

The defeat of the "trifecta" last night bodes well for those opposed to gutting the estate tax. This threat to the long-term fiscal health of the nation, has been staved off - for now. Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) voted "Nay" on cloture to reserve to the right to reconsider this bill in September. While passage of an estate tax cut remains highly in doubt, there is a non-zero chance that this zombie legislation will be resurrected by Frist.

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Estate Tax Dies (Again)

A coalition of fiscally responsible Senators stood up last night against the budget-shredding Estate Tax Caucus. By a vote of 56-42, a motion to proceed to consideration of the "trifecta" bill failed. And thanks to everyone who contacted their Senators and urged them to vote against this horrendous bill!

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Estate Tax Vote Could Be Tonight: OMBW Letter Opposes Bill

In advance of the vote on the "trifecta" estate tax bill in the Senate, which rumors say could be as early as tonight, OMB Watch sent a letter in strong opposition to the bill to the full Senate. Although the vote was originally slated for tomorrow (Friday) morning, there are rumors from the Hill that Sen. Reid (D-NV) may agree to move the vote up to this evening. This is a good sign as it probably indicates Reid is confident he has the votes to sustain a filibuster of the bill. Stay tuned for more updates as they become available.

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Momentum Swings Against Frist and 'Trifecta' Bill

Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-WA) - a key swing vote on the upcoming "trifecta" bill - has publicly announced she will vote against the bill. Cantwell's bold decision to stand up for working-class families in Washington and around the country who would get a bad break with this legislation is a significant blow to Sen. Frist's (T-RN) attempts to pass this crass and manipulative bill. Sen. Cantwell should be praised for her brave leadership in speaking out against this effort. Kudos to her!

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