New Medicaid Rules May Cost States Triple Administration Estimate

Yesterday, the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Democrats released a report detailing the effects of the Bush Administration's Medicaid rule changes (one went into effect on Monday while several others are pending). According to the report, the new rules would cost state governments a total of $50 billion over five years - over three times the administration's $15 billion estimate. The report is the product of the House committee's request to states to estimate their expected federal funding losses due to the proposed Medicaid rule changes.

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Good Indications

After some blog traffic last month on economic indicators -- not to mention EconomicIndicators.gov -- it was interesting to see the article in this Sunday's New York Times on "the indicators the federal number crunchers produce."

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DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- Mar. 4, 2008

Budget Resolution:
  • Modest Proposals -- Speaker Nancy Pelosi's office described the goals for the House budget resolution as follows: "We want to talk about responsible fiscal spending that is going to provide health care, education and job training... Our budget is going to balance by 2012, it is going to adhere to PAYGO and restore fiscal responsibility"... Democrats are expected to add $25-35 billion to Bush's topline for domestic programs.

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Impact of Fed Budget Cuts in GA Hits Home

The Macon Telegraph ran an article yesterday about how federal budget cuts are imperiling a drug/violent crime prevention program called the Edward Byrne Justice Assistance Grant Program. This program gives grants to states to establish state and regional drug task forces that form partnerships between area sheriffs offices and local police departments. And the program has been particularly successful in Georgia. Sen.

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Early Bird Nussle Makes a Play for the Worm

Getting Bush's veto-threats out early, OMB Director Nussle promises Bush will veto...well pretty much anything that wasn't written by the president.

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CBO's Report on Bush's FY09 Budget Projections

Today, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a publication, Preliminary Analysis of the President's Budget Request for 2009, that showed some key differences with the administration regarding budget deficit projections. If enacted, the report indicates, the president's budget would:
  • produce growing deficits of $396 billion in 2008 and $342 billion in 2009, 2.8 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively, of gross domestic product (GDP). By comparison, the deficit in 2007 totaled 1.2 percent of GDP

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The $3 Trillion War

Testifying before the Joint Economic Committee on Thursday, Nobel Laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz said that the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan could cost more than $3 trillion. Stiglitz's testimony is based on research that was released as a book, The Three Trillion Dollar War, on Friday. Coauthored with Harvard University professor Linda Bilmes, the book estimates that when interest expenses on the deficit spending used to finance the war and other costs, like health care benefits for wounded veterans, are calculated, the wars' costs could range from $5 to $7 trillion. McClatchy:

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DAILY FISCAL POLICY REVIEW -- 03-03-08

Budget Resolution: Budget Committees This Week --
  • House Budget: Complete, all-day mark-up of Chair Rep. John Spratt's (D-SC) FY09 budget resolution draft is expected for Wednesday, March 5
  • Senate Budget: Opening statements on budget resolution on Wednesday, March 5; consideration of Sen. Kent Conrad's (D-ND) Chairman's Mark is to begin late Wednesday or early Thursday
NB: the final FY09 budget action in Congress is likely to be at the House Ways and Means, Energy and Commerce and Senate Finance committees, with jurisdiction over healthcare and tax policy.

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More Tax Cuts to Save State Economies?

A new report out from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities last Friday explores the use of economic stimulus packages (i.e. tax cuts) at the state level, which have been proposed in seven states. CBPP concludes tax cuts are not an effective economic stimulus at the state level, and may in fact hurt state economies. From the report: Policymakers in many states are proposing tax cuts or rebates that they hope will "stimulate" their state economies, often citing the federal stimulus bill as both a model and a reason to support such a plan. Leaders have issued such proposals in Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, among others. But state tax cuts would do little or nothing to boost a state's economy. In fact, they reflect a misunderstanding of how state governments can best respond to a recession. The report outlines six recommendations for actions states can take to boost their economies. CBPP: FISCAL STIMULUS AT THE STATE LEVEL

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House Investigates Status of Contracing Reforms

More news on the contracting front this week (in addition to Craig's post earlier today). The House Subcommittee on Government Management, Organization, and Procurement held a hearing on the status of government contracting reform (here's a Government Executive article summarizing the hearing). Contracing expert and all around good guy Scott Amey, general counsel for the Project on Government Oversight, testified during the hearing on efforts to bring more competition, oversight, and transparency to the contracting process. You can read his excellent testimony to the committee regarding a number of pending pieces of legislation as well as the recommendations of the Federal Acquisition Advisory Panel on POGO's website.

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