Budget Committee Hearing on Budget Process

Today the House Budget Committee held a hearing reflecting on the budget process. All hearing documents can be seen here. The purpose of the hearing was to take a comprehensive look at the current process, including its various aspects and implications — both for policy and the practical operations of Congress. Former Rep. Bill Frenzel, Professor Allen Schick, and Center on Budget and Policy Priorities' Richard Kogan testified.

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Social Security and Pension Hearings

A number of important hearings have taken place this week. Yesterday, the House Ways and Means subcommittee on Social Security held a hearing examining the impact of the American population’s increasing longevity on Social Security’s finances and exploring ways to encourage work at older ages. Members of the panel heard a range of proposals to address the impact of longer-living individuals on solvency. Witness testimonies can be read here. Also, this morning the Senate Budget committee held a hearing on the solvency of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., which we wrote about in our last issue of the Watcher. The committee heard from Bradley Belt, Director of the PBGC, and CBO head Douglas Holtz-Eakin. The hearing was held because it is clear the defined-pension benefit system needs to be reformed. Rep. Boehner has offered a bill (HR 2830) to overhaul the pension system; however his bill has been criticized by both Republicans and Democrats. Boehner's bill raises pension insurance premiums that companies pay from $19 to $30 to ensure that the PBGC does not need a taxpayer bailout.

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Senate Finance No Closer to Consensus on SS Reform

Republican members of the Senate Finance Committee met yesterday to discuss options to reform Social Security and achieve solvency for the program. Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-IA) said a number of options were discussed during the meeting (including gradually increasing the retirement age and reducing benefits for high-income seniors), but that he was holding off on pushing only private carve-out accounts - a non-solution favored by President Bush - because of lack of consensus on the policy. Democrats were not involved in the meeting, with Grassley saying he needs to achieve consensus among Republicans before talking with Democrats and also because of the Democrats unwillingness to discuss private accounts created from taking a portion of payroll taxes away from Social Security. One of the most vocal critics of the private accounts, Senator Olympia Snowe (R-ME) applauded the chairman's efforts but added she thought the process should begin in a bipartisan way and be deliberate despite President Bush's call for legislation by the end of this year.

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Another Critic of Bush's SS Plan Comes Forward

Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-PA) has joined the long list of Republican opponents to President Bush's plan to reform Social Security. In a letter to Pennsylvanians United, Gerlach stated, "I am opposed to the President's PRA proposal and my focus is on finding other ways to [resolve the unfunded liability]." (more info here). Despite continuous opposition, Congressional GOP leaders seem bent on pushing legislation through. Tom DeLay (R-TX) said yesterday that Democrats "are obviously playing politics. They have decided that they're not going to participate and that creates a very difficult approach to getting the bill done." It is obviously not Democrats alone who are refusing to participate in discussions for reforms which include private accounts.

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House and Senate Timelines for SS Legislation

Both the House and Senate are moving closer to crafting legislation for Social Security reform. Senate Republicans are hoping to move Social Security legislation through the Senate Finance Committee before Congress recesses for the Independence Day holiday in three weeks. The House has continued to hold weekly hearings on Social Security reform and believes it will mark up legislation shortly after the July 4 recess. Republican members of the Senate Finance Committee have been holding weekly meetings on Mondays to discuss policy options, and a Senate GOP Social Security task force has been holding weekly meetings on Wednesdays. The task force includes leadership Republicans, members of the Finance panel, and other lawmakers. White House aides also have been involved in the task force meetings. It is still unclear if the Finance committee bill will include payroll-financed private investment accounts since Chairman Grassley (R-IA) is unclear if enough panel members support such a provision. On the House side, hearings have continued about one per week over the last month, the most recent scheduled for today, June 9. The hearing will focus on two benefit adjustment provisions in current law, the government pension offset and the windfall elimination provision. The two provisions affect Social Security benefits paid to federal, state, and local government employees who contribute to a government pension plan instead of Social Security.

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Could Progressive Price Indexing Close the Shortfall?

The CBO report on Social Security reform options released last week mentions that the progressive indexing of benefits could completely eliminate the 75-year Social Security shortfall. This projection is even more favorable than the numbers which are being used by the White House in support of the plan. The progressive price indexing plan would index the benefits of the top 30 percent of wages earners by price growth rather than wage growth, index the benefits of the middle 40 percent of wage earners by a combination of wage and price indexing, and index the bottom 30 percent by their current wage-indexing. One problem however is that CBO's estimates differ from those of the Social Security Actuary, which claims, based on different economic assumptions, that solvency would not be achieved within 75 years. Instead, they claim that even with this plan, the shortfall would only be reduced by 70 percent. (Repealing the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts, on the other hand, would more than make up for the Social Security shortfall -- see this report). And the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has recently reported that the SSA's claim that progressive price indexing could shore up 70 percent of the Social Security shortfall, is false. The Pozen progressive price indexing plan calls for reductions in disability and survivorship benefits, which the President has not claimed to support. Their report states, "About one-sixth of the improvement in solvency under the Pozen proposal comes from reductions in disability benefits... A similar amount of the solvency improvement under the Pozen plan is the result of reductions in benefits for survivors." Since the President does not support this, the actual amount of the shortfall which would be closed, the CBPP estimates, would be closer to 59 percent.

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CBO Social Security Report; Hearings Continue on the Hill

Today the CBO released a major report on Social Security, analyzing the effects various proposals to shore up Social Security would have on the program's projected financing, and the impact of proposals on changes in lifetime benefits for workers of various ages. The report was released in conjunction with various hearings on the issue this week. The Senate Finance Committee held a hearing today on solvency. Witness Douglas Holtz-Eakin of the CBO said the new analysis shows low-income earners will do better under progressive indexing than they do under current law; however ranking member Max Baucus (D-MT) was skeptical, saying "Once you look at the details, I think it becomes clear that these three new options cut benefits for Social Security beneficiaries far too deeply. We need to scour all other ideas for improving Social Security's long-run finances." The House Ways and Means Subcommittee continues to hold hearings as well. They are scheduled to hold another hearing May 26, during which subcommittee members will hear from different Congressmen on their specific plans for reform. Rep. Shaw (R-FL), along with others, will testify. Subcommittee Chairman Jim McCrery (R-LA) has stated that key House lawmakers will be ready to write Social Security legislation by July 1. Whether or not they actually choose to write it, he said, "is a political question." In the meantime President Bush continues to tour the country speaking on behalf of Social Security reform and specifically private benefits accounts, despite the fact that many reform experts have stated that he should back away from his push for private accounts. On the same issue, some Congressmen involved in the recent Senate compromise over judicial nominees and the nuclear option are suggesting that this spirit of bipartisanship may spill over into Senate work on immigration and Social Security issues. Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR), stated the compromise could "lead to us working through an agreement on Social Security and immigration," and added, "There are a lot of other issues pending out there. It feels awfully good to work together."

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Social Security Hearings

The Ways and Means subcommittee on Social Security is plowing ahead with their hearings on the issue. Tomorrow they will hold a hearing examining the projections of the Social Security trustees. On Thursday they will hear from lawmakers about their ideas for overhauling Social Security. The Senate Finance Committee will also continue with their Social Security hearings. They plan to hold one on Wednesday, May 25 on the subject of Social Security solvency. These hearings are open to the public.

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House Committee Meetings on SS; Rep. Wexler Offers Plan

The Ways and Means Committee held a hearing yesterday on Social Security and issues of retirement savings. Democrats used the opportunity to continue to raise objections regarding private savings accounts. Rep. Pete Stark (D-CA), was one of the most vocal, castigating Republicans for spending too much on tax cuts and now finding themselves with a Social Security shortfall. The Ways and Means Subcommittee on Social Security will hold two more hearings on May 24 and 26. Thomas is hoping to complete legislation this summer. Meanwhile, Bush continues to promote his plan (despite an ongoing lack of support) across the country, stopping in Milwaukee yesterday. Besides pushing his own plan, Bush has been extremely critical of Democrats for not offering alternative proposals to fix Social Security. Yesterday, however, Rep. Robert Wexler (D-FL) filed legislation that combats the shortfall by lifting the earnings cap on taxable wages. His plan, called the Social Security Forever Act of 2005, would lift the cap on taxable earnings requiring workers to pay a 3 percent payroll tax on wages above $90,000, to be matched by the employer. Wexler's reform plan, which has been reviewed by the CBO, completely closes the funding gap in Social Security without cutting benefits, creating private accounts, borrowing, or adding any elements of risk to the benefits collection process.

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Pozen Criticizes Key Element of Bush's Plan

Former member of Bush's 2001 Commission to Strenghten Social Security Robert Pozen said wednesday that Bush should "back away" from insisting that Social Security reform include individual investment accounts. Pozen's comments are significant because it is his Social Security plan which has gotten the most praise and attention from an administration adamant on overhauling the nation's Social Security program. Pozen's plan would reduce the growth of Social Security benefits for all but the poorest income earners, which is why it has earned the name "progressive price indexing." It also creates small private accounts for wealthier earners who would be losing some of their benefits. In April Bush publicly endorsed Pozen's plan. Pozen's comments were made wednesday during a debate with Brookings' Peter Orszag, who has been critical of Bush's plans all along. He commented that the president's insistence on "carving out" individual accounts from a percentage of Social Security's payroll tax has polarized congressional Democrats and threatens passage of a Social Security restructuring that would deal with the program's financial problems. He said, "I would advise the president to say that carve-out accounts are no longer required." Also of importance in recent Social Security discussions, Bill Thomas (R-CA) of Ways and Means has been hinting that Social Security reform might be a good vehicle with which to push new and costly retirement-related tax cuts. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released this report yesterday, highlighting the point that tax cuts would do little to help out middle class families who would be hurt by Social Security benefits cuts, and would instead add to the deficit.

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