CBO Monthly Budget Review, November 2010

Congressional Budget Office

On Monday, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its Monthly Budget Review (MBR) for November. Two months into fiscal year (FY) 2011 and the federal government is $283 billion in the hole. The good news is that this deficit is $14 billion less than the shortfall the government experienced at this time last year. The continuing bad news is that budget deficits like this are going to continue well into the future. Oh, and according to the report, the economy is "strengthening," which is also good news.

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Obama Tax Cut Compromise Capitulates on Estate Tax

President Obama's tax cut deal with congressional Republicans, if enacted by Congress, will achieve what President George W. Bush could not get done: create a path to effectively kill the estate tax.

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$3.3 Trillion Deficit Reduction Plan Set to Take Effect Jan. 1

One deficit plan that's not getting much attention, and one which can easily pass a Republican-controlled Congress, is the one that the Republican-controlled Congress approved in 2001 (and further augmented in 2003): The 2001-2003 Bush tax cuts.

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President’s Deficit Commission Releases Not-So-Great Final Proposal

At long last, after months of meetings and deliberation, the much-hyped National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform (the Deficit Commission) released its final report earlier today. Tasked by the President to slash the budget deficit by 2015, the Commission had until today to release a plan. If fourteen of the eighteen members of the Commission vote to approve it, the then-leaders of the House and Senate (Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)) agreed to bring the plan up for a vote.

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Conservatives should get Their Facts Straight before Criticizing QE2

You talkin' to me?

It seems the Federal Reserve's latest proposed move to stimulate the economy and reduce unemployment isn't that popular with the GOP. On Wednesday, the party's leadership sent a letter to Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke expressing concern that the plan to purchase an additional $600 billion worth of U.S. Treasury bonds might produce “hard-to-control, long-term inflation.” Nothing in the available economic data, however, even hints at an uptick in inflation.

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The Brewing Showdown over a Government Shutdown

The Treasury Department says that some time in the first or second quarter of next year, the government will need to shut down unless Congress raises the debt ceiling so that additional borrowing can occur to keep things running. This could be a battle royale, creating showdowns within the Republican Party between the Tea Party activists and establishment members, as well as between the Republican Party and President Obama.

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Fiscal Commission Releases Draft Proposal, World Flips Out

Remember that Fiscal Commission (officially the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform) President Obama created back in February, which he tasked with balancing the budget by 2015? Turns out solving the nation’s fiscal crisis isn’t quite as easy as it sounds. Yesterday, the Commission’s two co-chairs released a proposal of sorts, a draft of a plan that would bring down the deficit to 2 percent of GDP by 2014, and lower the national debt to 34 percent of GDP by 2040. The co-chairs trumpeted those figures, but the plan was greeted by almost universal ire, since it attacks sacred cows on both the left and the right. Anti-tax crusader Grover Norquist threatened that Republicans who supported the proposal would be breaking their “no tax” pledge. Richard Trumka, head of the AFL-CIO, said the plan “tells working Americans to ‘Drop Dead.’”

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CBO Monthly Budget Review, October 2010

Because you need something funny to look at while you read this stuff...

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has released its Monthly Budget Review (MBR) for October. This latest MBR finalizes September's report that projected a deficit $125 billion less than the shortfall recorded in 2009. It turns out the government incurred a $1.3 trillion deficit, which is only $122 billion less than the deficit Uncle Sam racked up in 2009. On a positive note, though, it's confirmed that this the biggest one-year nominal drop in the deficit ever recorded.

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How Difficult Will Raising the Debt Ceiling in the New Congress Be?

Ceiling of the Capitol Rotunda

In February, Congress was barely able to raise the federal government's debt ceiling to allow Uncle Sam to continue borrowing. The votes, which occurred along strict partisan lines, only provided the government with one year's worth of additional borrowing capacity. With a new wave of conservative lawmakers on the way to Capitol Hill in January, will commitments to dogmatic principles by a majority of new members prevent the government from meeting its debt obligations?

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What the American People Want

After securing a Republican majority in the House of Representatives, the top two House Republicans -- Speaker of the House-to-be John Boehner (R-OH) and Marjority Leader-to-be Eric Cantor (R-VA) -- offered their governing philosophy: Listen to the American people.

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